AboveNet connects with Web, investors
By Jeffry Bartash, CBS MarketWatch Last Update: 12:12 PM ET Mar 19, 1999 Internet Daily Net Headlines NewsWatch
WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) -- AboveNet Communications soared again Friday, and no wonder: It's the Internet service provider for increasingly busy Internet service providers.
Well, not exactly, but you get the idea. AboveNet (ABOV) basically helps ISPs connect more efficiently to each other and to companies that provide content over the Web. Its goal is to minimize information loss, speed up data exchanges and relieve web congestion, and reduce the cost of access to the so-called Internet backbone.
AboveNet is enjoying such prosperity these days -- at least in the minds of investors -- because its one of the few companies to offer such services. It's also is moving quickly to capture the business of companies in Europe and Asia as web-site development catches on, a particularly lucrative opportunity in light of how small those markets are now.
While the 3-year-old company only tallied $3.4 million in revenue in 1998, analyst Bill Garrahan of Lehman Brothers estimates it will record sales of $21 million in 1999, $60 million in 2000, and $137 million in 2001.
Earlier Friday, Garrahan initiated coverage with an "outperform" rating. That helped boost shares of the company, which went public in December, by 14.5 percent. It jumped 7 9/16 to 59 3/4, about six times above its all-time low of 11 1/2. Its closest competitor, Exodus Communications (EXDS), soared 14 7/8 to 141.
While analysts acknowledge that AboveNet, like most money-losing Internet-related concerns, is exorbitantly valued, Garrahan points out that its trades at a reasonable 6.5 times 2001 projected revenue.
"It's clearly in a great space," he said. "Revenue is going to grow in proportion to the Internet."
Central command
AboveNet, founded by former Ace Computer salesman Sherman Tuan in February 1996, is carving out a nice niche for itself. The company earns most of its money two ways.
First, it rents space in several communications- control centers, called Internet Service Exchanges, where ISPs and web-content providers can put their own equipment. It then provides high bandwidth and allows customers to exchange data directly, quickly, securely and with fewer errors.
For example, Real Networks (RNWK) uses AboveNet to speed up download time of its RealPlayer device, which PC users utilize to see and hear multimedia files.
Already, the San Jose, Calif.-based company has signed up nearly 70 U.S. Internet service providers to locate their equipment ins its exchanges. More than 200 others have direct connections to AboveNet's sites. "We are directly linked into all the major ISPs," said spokeswoman Rose Marr.
In addition, AboveNet acquired access to a transatlantic high-speed cable and opened a site in London to allow European ISPs to connect more easily and cheaply to the U.S, which accounts for about 90 percent of all Web traffic. Major Asian ISPs, meanwhile, own their own undersea cable to the West Coast, and hook in to AboveNet's exchange in California.
Though the company has a unique business model, it's not the only one providing the kind of services it does. Aside from Exodus, other rivals include AT&T (T), MCI WorldCom's (WCOM) Uunet unit, Frontier Communications' (FRO) GlobalCenter subsidiary and Verio (VRIO).
"You're going to see other, larger competitors like Qwest also getting into this area," said John Hodulik of PaineWebber, who covers internet-backbone companies.
Still, he and other industry observers believe there is enough money to go around. "There's room for a lot of players in this," concurred Garrahan, likening the young but fast-growing sector to the long-distance phone business.
Another advantage AboveNet possesses is that it does not compete with ISPs for end users -- small business customers, for example, who want high-speed access. As a result, ISPs may be more likely to sign up with AboveNet instead of an AT&T, which could try to steal its customers.
Perhaps the biggest concern among financial analysts right now is whether the company can handle the kind of hyper growth Wall Street expects it to achieve. For now, though, those worries are small.
Sums up Hodulik: "AboveNet is an up-and-comer in the Web co-location business. It's an interesting stock that's going to grow as the Internet does." |