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To: Earlie who wrote (29198)3/30/1999 7:29:00 PM
From: Lucretius  Respond to of 86076
 
sure.. I'm good at finding UGLY stuff -g-

be back w/ more..

Of note to check is MO... I am using this stock as an indicator of where the crash low will be. It appears to be leading the big caps down (the weak large caps in the herd get cut down first). My guess is that it goes to around 25 or so along its '87 trendline that corresponds w/ the beginning of this mania in '82. This is likely where i think the mkt will support PE's at, until everybody realizes how bad the unwinding of this sucker is going to be... then we go lower later this yr.

it broke 38 today and is now on CRASH alert:

207.95.154.130



To: Earlie who wrote (29198)3/30/1999 7:44:00 PM
From: Lucretius  Respond to of 86076
 
Earl,

here:

techstocks.com

the same descriptions still apply, it just taking FOREVER to unfold..(this of course means more distribution and makes the mvoe even larger so that is positive for us, but is frustrating to bears waiting for a crash.. as it should be, I guess!) I would call the last few days a holding pattern... the UTIL broke out of that holding pattern w/ a THUD today. The rest will soon follow....

I also want to add the dollar, which looks ready to crash. the traders' commitments also look VERY good for the D-Mark, Pound, and Yen (especially the yen) this obviosuly fits into my scenario of a US liquidation job by foreigners which will send gold higher. as the dollar crashes and tank the stock and bond mkt.. early on in the decline in stocks I do expect a misguided flight to quality in the bond mkt that will get mowed in the final stage of the crash when stocks AND bonds get sold together in a climactic SPANKING to DOW 3500 ro 4000. 8% on the bond.

decisionpoint.com

I think the dollar index could see 78 at the height of liquidation.



To: Earlie who wrote (29198)3/30/1999 10:30:00 PM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86076
 
Earl.. BOMBS AWAY!

207.95.154.130

207.95.154.130

I'm sure int. rates aren't headed higher or anything.. HO HO HO

of note--- I did hear some clown on bubblevision today say "well, in 1987 int rates went higher for several months before stocks topped out so we've still got till this Summer before things might top out."

LOL!! well sure this thing could fall apart at anytime and yea everything says this is the most bloated POS ever, but hey.... it COULD go on for another few months and we're not about to miss out on that upside... -s-

where do they find these clowns?... I think the Street must all pass out a playbook to their mkt analysts... "NEVER EVER mention -top- or -crash- to the public" -g-



To: Earlie who wrote (29198)3/30/1999 10:50:00 PM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86076
 
got another one for ya (I own poots on this POS)]

how 'bout that volume...

207.95.154.130

KO don't look so hot either.. when it closes below 59.. the broader mkt will likely crash.

207.95.154.130