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Pastimes : WORLD WAR III -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: D. Long who wrote (670)	4/1/1999 2:31:00 AM
From: XiaoYao	Respond to of 765

3 U.S. solders were captured by Yugoslavia.

To: D. Long who wrote (670)	4/1/1999 5:31:00 AM
From: Neocon	Respond to of 765

It is not quite true that the same people are in power, and in any case the dynamic has changed---- the Warsaw Pact is gone;General Lebed, the sober authoritarian, is a better bet than most to succeed Yeltsin in a deteriorating political situation, and he is a nationalist with little interest in a return to the good old days; the mob is a power to be reckoned with, which ensures a certain anarchy (not normally good, but a bulwark against totalitarian control). If NATO doesn't come up with something more honorable soon, it will go beyond embarrassment.... I am inclined to Bush, at this time. He doesn't have foreign policy experience, but I'll bet he has learned a thing or two from his dad, and he is sensible enough to get good advisors. I think both Dole and Forbes are credible. Quayle could have grown enough, but I'll wait and see. Buchanan doesn't have the requisite experience, his rhetoric is too divisive, and he has gone off the deep end with populist economics. Plus, I still resent him for harming better candidates, such as Bush. Still, if it came down to him or Gore? ...I might have to bite the bullet. I hope it won't come to that. Goldwater was a great guy, but I wish we had a Reagan (in good health, of course)...

To: D. Long who wrote (670)	4/3/1999 6:28:00 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 765

I think that President Clinton is one the greatest Presidents of the U.S.A. History will tell... In one or two years from now, I believe most of the U.S. citizens will aknowledge the Clinton legacy at its true value. Remember that President R. Reagan was responsible for your massive budget deficit: when he sat in the White House, the U.S. deficit was in the $billion bracket and he pulled it up into the $trillion range! And what about the Savings & Loan fiasco? How many billions of $ did it cost the US taxpayer? Clinton's currently reshaping --I should say reinventing-- the US foreign agenda/policy for the next century. Regarding the Kosovo crisis, I think that right now, the issue is twofold: # The Russian attitude; # The strategy of NATO's European members. The US administration could mistakenly think that everything's up for sale in Russia --even Russia's pride. What if one day, IMF Chairman Michel Camdessus is welcomed in the Kremlin by Gen. A. Lebed instead of Yeltsin? Yet, I think that the important issue for the coming days will be to maintain NATO's unity in operation Allied Force. The first cracks show us that a second round of negociations is imminent. Italy, France and even Germany (pressured by its Green electorate) are pushing for some sort of humanitarian ceasefire. As I said in my previous messages, by attacking Serbia's extreme jingoism (Bosnia, Kosovo), the US are touching a sensitive nerve that runs throughout the European fabric. In a sense the US are challenging the European mindset as a whole: Serbs, Croats, Albanians, Flemish, Basques, Northern Italians, Bavarians, Scots, Czechs,... all these European tribes have lived with each other in an ''ethnic cold war'' for several centuries. Sometimes, as it happens today in the Balkans, this ethnic cold war changes in an open, hot war. And, on two occasions in this century, the US have been called to the rescue of the European fabric. Yet, this time, the US seem to behave as in a preemptive manoeuver: bombing a jingoist, ethnic-minded regime before it starts to spread around in the region... From a historical perspective, it's even more mind-challenging: up to the early XXth century, the world was Europe-centered, meaning that European colons were teaching remote African tribes or Amazonian Indians how to ''deal'' with each other, forcing them to comply with the division of labor as required by the European metropole. This was the age of colonialism. Today, by one of History's ironies, this cultural boomerang is hitting back Old Europe: the so-called Old Continent finds itself in the very same dependency as the one it enforced upon its colonies two centuries ago... A remote metropole, Washington DC, intervenes in the heart of Europe in order to ''manage'' the locals --by any manner of means. The US should also take into account this cultural shock in their current military endeavours. Europe can deal with an economical/financial globalization but, as soon as such a globalization becomes (geo)political then it resents being in the back seat... My 2 cents, Gustave.