To: JGoren who wrote (26012 ) 4/4/1999 1:18:00 AM From: Ruffian Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 152472
Snakepit?> Saturday April 3, 10:29 pm Eastern Time ANALYSIS-China premier to face US "snakepit" By Christiaan Virant BEIJING, April 4 (Reuters) - Chinese Premier Zhu Rongji, renowned for his mastery of domestic policy and administrative prowess, is facing the diplomatic test of a lifetime with his visit to the United States this week. Not only will Zhu be forced to don a rarely used diplomatic hat during his April 6-14 visit to Washington and five other cities, he will also represent China to an increasingly hostile American audience. And even if his trip goes as planned, Zhu will have little to show for walking the minefield of deteriorating Sino-U.S. ties. ''The U.S. domestic political climate is so hostile right now to China that he is walking into a snakepit,'' said David Shambaugh, director of the China Policy Programme at George Washington University. Zhu's visit, his first to the United States as premier, will take him to Los Angeles, Washington, Denver, Chicago, New York and Boston. Although long in the planning, his agenda is short on substance. The sole agreement Zhu is expected to bring home is an environmental development treaty signed with Vice President Al Gore. Zhu's visit also comes as Sino-U.S. ties are locked in a widening spiral of acerbic disputes. Beijing is angry at Washington's decision to sponsor a resolution critical of China's human rights record at a U.N. forum under way in Geneva, while the U.S. is fuming at charges China stole nuclear secrets from a top American laboratory. China is also incensed by moves in Washington towards a Theatre Missile Defence for American troops in Asia, provoked, the United States says, by North Korean missile tests. China says such a move would destabilise Asia, and suggestions the missile umbrella could cover Taiwan, which Beijing regards as a rebel province, unleashed a furore on the mainland. U.S.-led NATO air strikes on Yugoslavia have deepened the grim mood, with China demanding an end to the ''barbarity'' of bombing and turning up anti-U.S. rhetoric in its state-run press. China has blamed these problems on American political jockeying and sticks to the official line that the two nations enjoy a ''constructive strategic partnership.'' ''Disputes are natural in every relationship,'' said Tao Wenzhao, deputy director of the Institute of American Studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, a top government think-tank. ''But the U.S. has not changed its policy of engagement with China and relations remain good.'' Shambaugh and other top China watchers disagree. ''U.S-China relations today are not good,'' said Shambaugh, adding that a broad section of the American public harbours deep suspicions about Beijing. ''This is not, as Zhu Rongji and other Chinese officials would like you to believe, a small cabal of anti-China elements trying to sabotage U.S.-China relations.'' The hostility, coupled with China's ill-timed trial on Tuesday of a liberal government official on fraud charges, is expected to feed anti-China demonstrations during Zhu's visit. ''He is going to be dogged by demonstrations across the country and depending on how he answers questions on sensitive issues such as Tibet, human rights, Taiwan, those demonstrations may grow,'' Shambaugh said. Zhu is not versed in international affairs and some government insiders wonder how how he will manage the sensitive visit. ''Zhu is not yet that well versed in international affairs,'' a senior official told Reuters on condition of anonymity. ''He may be a bit uncomfortable.'' Nevertheless, Beijing believes the visit will do more good than harm and will press ahead. When Zhu visited the United States as Shanghai mayor in 1990, his trip was highly successful, Tao said. ''This time, Zhu's trip will help boost understanding and help find solutions to some differences, but it can't solve every difficulty.''