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To: sea_urchin who wrote (31479)	4/10/1999 8:40:00 PM
From: Stephen O	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 116815

This war must have an effect soon on the price of base metals like copper and zinc. After they make the brass for shell and bullet casings. Wars are inflationary and I would expect to see some beefing up of factory inventories away from the just in time the world has got used to. The LME inventories of zinc are quite light.

To: sea_urchin who wrote (31479)	4/10/1999 9:24:00 PM
From: Alan Whirlwind	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 116815

Thanks for the clarification on the nuclear arsenal reference. Whether Russia comes into the conflict or not, the end result of Clinton's war apparently will be the Communist party in Russia making huge gains in the next election. This will not prove to be a favorable development.

To: sea_urchin who wrote (31479)	4/10/1999 9:27:00 PM
From: goldsnow	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 116815

>>I'm not sure what the true Russian position is and I don't know whether one can take anything Yeltsin says seriously. I also think it will take time for Russian emotion to transform into action of some sort. >> Yeltsin should not be taken seriously..he has no power..no influence and no significance.. However that is a bad news not good..Much of the IMF and other "moneys" that went to Russia, did so in order to prop the corrupt and inefficient regime..(not that Zurich accounts were a mistery, but that still bought time for Russian Military machine to degrade).. The problem is that the machine is now controlled by forces that neither Yeltsin nor IMF can even influence...As for Russian involvement... There were 150 Russian Commandos protecting Bokassa (spp) in Congo before Kabila took over...What kind of wheapons Russian "adventurists" will have is anyones guess..the trouble is that now Albright visit with Yeltsin will accomplish nothing (short of re-newed commitment not to send ground troops) At any rate the seeds are in...This region has a long memory. The seeds of the ever bloody Balkan Confrontation for generations to come are in..as for Russia the new regime which will come on election dominated by anti-Western rethoric will be much more frightening to the World than Milosevic..all in all huge blunder. Than again "every nation deserves its Goverment" or President? Churchill

To: sea_urchin who wrote (31479)	4/10/1999 10:09:00 PM
From: Mark Bartlett	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 116815

Searle, << Depleted uranium was the cause (or one of the causes) of the "Gulf War Syndrome" which effected so many US (and of course) Iraqi servicemen.>> Actually, I just recently read that there is some evidence that an unusual mycoplasm infection may be the reason for the Gulf War Syndrome. Apparently a fair number of sufferers are having some success being treated long-term with erythromycin antibiotics. I believe a study is being funded presently, to get more data ... most of the info at the present was gathered by a single doctor whose own daughter had the illness .... apparently she's OK now. MB MB