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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: donald sew who wrote (11149)	4/15/1999 5:12:00 PM
From: John Pitera	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99985

Don, I just remembered that the old-timers no nothing about the new cyber market investing -g-

To: donald sew who wrote (11149)	4/15/1999 5:28:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

Don, re: cyclical issues/portent of ending bull market: this jibes exactly with the assumption extant in the 70's (which i mentioned before),namely that the last leg of a bull market in stocks is accompanied by the first leg of a bull market in commodities. we may have entered this phase now. btw,if this should indeed be the case,the bear market to follow would not be all that bad,maybe minus 40-50%, basically leaving the door open for a new bull market to go even higher than the current one relatively soon. should the revival in commodities be a fluke,i.e. a bear market rally, worldwide deflation would become a reality (my test for this scenario would be for gold to break it's multi-year low of $270 significantly to the downside). in this case a minus 80-90% bear market would probably ensue. that's the kind of damage that takes 20-30 years to repair. i still believe that we are in for a blow-off, as the market starts to exhibit the various characteristics that i spoke of in an earlier post.(the improvement in internals already produces some of the effects on sentiment i spoke of,but it's still early innings i think) regards, hb