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Technology Stocks : Compaq -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: J.Maz who wrote (58705)4/19/1999 12:53:00 PM
From: P P Bravo  Respond to of 97611
 
Analysts remain upbeat after the computer giant's news

By August Cole & Janet Haney, CBS MarketWatch
Last Update: 12:40 PM ET Apr 19, 1999
Also: NewsWatch

HOUSTON (CBS.MW) -- Shares of Compaq were down fractionally
Monday afternoon after Chief Executive Officer Eckhard Pfeiffer and
Chief Financial Officer Earl Mason resigned Sunday, just days before the
release of a disappointing earnings report.

An acting office of the chief executive, composed of three board
members, has been named.

Shortly after midday Monday, shares of the PC
industry leader were down 5/16 to 23 5/16.

Compaq Computer (cpq: news, msgs) had warned
April 9 that its earnings would amount to only half
of analysts' expectations, reflecting
lower-than-expected market demand and pricing
pressure in the business-computer market.

Compaq's earnings report is expected to be
released Wednesday.

Chairman Benjamin M. Rosen will join Frank P.
Doyle and Robert Ted Enloe III, each of whom is a
Compaq director and vice chairman, in constituting
the new office of the chief executive.

Analysts offer insight

On Monday, a flurry of analysts offered fresh
outlooks on Compaq.

Morgan Stanley analyst Gillian Munson said in a research note: "We
believe that the stock will react positively to this news near term.
However, we also believe that change at a company with 71,000
employees and $9 billion-plus quarterly revenue does not come
overnight." Munson reiterated her "neutral" rating.

Southwest Securities also stood pat, maintaining a "buy" rating on
Compaq and a price target of $49 a share. "Although (the news from
Compaq is) traumatic, we believe this change of management has the
potential to be a positive for the company," Southwest stated.

Southwest gave a first-quarter estimate of 15 cents a share for Compaq,
matching the First Call consensus projection. Southwest Securities' fiscal
1999 outlook for Compaq is $1.25 per share. That's 5 cents above the
First Call consensus.

Merrill Lynch said that "leadership uncertainty, particularly in such a
fast-moving industry, will likely put pressure on Compaq's ability to
execute on current business and the remaining pieces of the digital
integration."

Merrill joined Southwest in predicting that the management change will
prove positive for Compaq over the long term.

Pfeiffer flees

In a press release, the outgoing Pfeiffer said: "Compaq has come a long
way since I joined the company in 1983. We are a world leader in
personal computing, enterprise computing and Internet applications.
Under (Rosen's) guidance, I know this company will realize its potential,
transforming the industry yet again."

It's unclear where Pfeiffer, who submitted his resignation Sunday, is
headed next. Compaq spokesman Alan Hodel wouldn't comment on
Pfeiffer's next step. Compaq said in a press release that Mason will leave
to head an unnamed company as its chief executive.

Hodel said the resignations will not affect the future
of Compaq's AltaVista Internet property, adding
the computer maker will maintain its "clear and
correct" direction. Compaq acquired the
search-engine unit -- which has been expected to
be spun off in an initial public offering -- when it
bought Digital Equipment last year.

The malaise in which Compaq has found itself is not
necessarily sectorwide. Piper Jaffray analyst Ashok
Kumar previously estimated Compaq sales were
down 20 percent from the previous quarter, while
rival Gateway's (gtw: news, msgs) have been flat.
See related story.

Compaq's integration of Digital Equipment, observers said, has proved
more difficult than expected.

August Cole is an online reporter for CBS MarketWatch.




To: J.Maz who wrote (58705)4/19/1999 1:01:00 PM
From: Kenya AA  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
Hi J.Maz: You never left the thread as far as I was concerned. <ggg> Thanks for the input - I know less than zip about COMDEX, but when Renay started going on and on about IBM blah, blah this and IBM blah, blah, that I saw red (as in a decline in CPQ relative to IBM <ggg>). Will be looking forward to your report.

K



To: J.Maz who wrote (58705)4/19/1999 10:48:00 PM
From: J.Maz  Respond to of 97611
 
To: SI CPQ Thread

SB: 1st of several articles about CPQ in today's PC Week

Not sure if all of this stuff was posted in one form or another, but the next few posts from me contain stuff I saw in today's PC Week Magazine that I thought might be of interest to the regulars here.

JMaz

From the PC Week Spencer F. Katt Rumor Central Column

El Gato wasted no time working the crowd in Houston, trying to get to the bottom of Compaq's financials during the company's Innovate conference. Like the twisters that touched down in Texas last week, the Compaqians were busy spinning their disappointing quarterly results by saying, in effect, that every other PC maker had a bad quarter, too.
One tipster passed along a dose of déjà vu: When Compaq sent out the earnings warning April 9, its press release included a quote from CEO Eckhard Pfeiffer about competitive market conditions and a pledge to expand business and market share in the current year. Flashback: A press release from March 8, 1998, announcing preliminary first-quarter results for that year included the exact same quote. "Time to change the template," the Mouser mused.
Other Innovate tidbits: Compaq has a big Linux announcement in the works; it's partnering with ISVs on some new Linux bundling solutions and hopes to announce the partners within the next 90 days, tipsters told the Tabby. Also, Compaq is bidding for sponsorship rights for the still-under-construction domed stadium that will replace the Astrodome. No word on the name, or the bid. How about the Deskpro Dome?



To: J.Maz who wrote (58705)4/19/1999 10:50:00 PM
From: J.Maz  Respond to of 97611
 
More CPQ stuff from PC Week:

Did Pfeiffer have the right stuff?
Down deep, Compaq's former CEO was a PC guy -- a talent that may have ultimately worked against him.
By Lisa DiCarlo, PC Week Online
April 19, 1999 8:45 AM ET

Less than one week ago, Eckhard Pfeiffer spelled out Compaq Computer Corp.'s first solid plans for enabling e-business. But now, he will not be around to see the fruits of his labors realized.
Although the former chief executive officer, who resigned Sunday, set and reached many lofty goals in its PC business, he failed to transition the company from PC maker to enterprise solutions provider. A case in point is Compaq's (NYSE:CPQ) lateness in articulating an e-business strategy which was just announced only last week -- this despite the fact that Compaq bought Tandem in 1997 and Digital Equipment Corp. in early 1998.
Pfeiffer, who joined Compaq in 1983, was brilliant in executing PC sales strategies. It was that acumen that brought him from Compaq Europe (where he had major success) to become CEO of Compaq in 1991.
At the time, Compaq's PC business was in a slump, the only time other than the Digital acquisition that it had to lay off employees. The turning point came in June of 1992, when Pfeiffer made the crucial decision to go after market share by slashing prices on existing systems, while also introducing the Prolinea low-cost PC.
That move kicked off the first PC price war and began a consolidation in the industry that continues to this day. More importantly, however, it catapulted Compaq to the No. 1 PC spot, a distinction it also holds to this day.
The right stuff?
Given his PC roots, was Pfeiffer the right person to run the kind of company he envisioned?
His track record of the past few years says no. The company hasn't yet seen the payoff from enterprise-centric acquisitions.
For example, Compaq purchased two networking companies, Thomas-Conrad and Microcom, with the intent of offering high margin products and services to customers. But it folded that division last year.
Some have said its Tandem acquisition has been lackluster, the only significant announcement since the purchase being the move from the Mips to Alpha architecture on Tandem's Himalaya servers.
And then there's Digital. This was the move that Compaq said would take it into the glass house, to set it on the road to being a $50 billion company by 2000. Unless Compaq finds $19 billion in additional revenue by year's end, it will fall short of that goal. (Compaq's 1998 revenues were $31.2 billion)
The company has not yet leveraged what was touted as the crown jewel of the acquisition, services. That's partly due to internal struggles over Digital's direct approach and Compaq's obligations to its channel partners to offer services indirectly.
And while some had predicted that sales of Alpha systems would blossom under Compaq, that hasn't been the case. According to International Data Corp., unit sales of Alpha servers were down about 15 percent in 1998, compared with 1997.
While it struggles to become an enterprise player, Compaq is having trouble in its core PC business. More than two years ago, Pfeiffer and CFO Earl Mason, who also resigned this weekend, explained how they would implement built-to-order manufacturing and direct sales to reduce cost and inventory and more effectively compete with Dell Computer Corp.
The company has managed to keep its inventory down in the past few quarters, but has not seen revenue grow as it had hoped.
No clear No. 2
So the question becomes who is the right person to lead Compaq to the next level? One analyst said the company will almost certainly have to look outside for a replacement.
"Pfeiffer has been making sure there is no number two at Compaq," said Kim Brown, analyst at Dataquest Inc. in San Jose, Calif., referring to the fact that there is no clear internal successor to Pfeiffer. "Compare that to what [Michael] Dell has done."
Compaq will now find itself competing for the same executive talent as Hewlett Packard Co., which is also on the lookout for a chief to run its enterprise business.

Competitors quick to spot opportunity in Compaq crisis
By Lisa DiCarlo, PC Week Online
April 19, 1999 5:05 PM ET
While some of Compaq Computer Corp.'s biggest competitors aren't hesitating to exploit the turmoil surrounding Sunday's surprise resignation of CEO Eckhard Pfeiffer, they know the respite won't last forever.
"Obviously, [a competitor's] turmoil is good,'' said Jim McDonnell, vice president and general manager of the commercial channels organization at Hewlett-Packard Co. in Santa Clara, Calif. "But more important is what shoe drops next.''
McDonnell was referring to the possibility of other executive departures and Pfeiffer's replacement.
Competitors will undoubtedly be more than happy to exploit Compaq's vulnerabilities, although most were surprised to see the board of directors move so quickly.
"If he was screwing up so badly it would have been better for us if the board [didn't act so quickly],'' said an IBM official who asked not to be identified. "It will be good [for our business] in the short term, but two years from now it could be a different story if they get someone in there who is semi-sharp.''
"Compaq has surprised everyone recently,'' said Carl Everett, senior vice president at Dell Computer Corp. in Round Rock, Texas, who added that some of Compaq's problems are "understandable given their channel commitments.''
But even Dell has not been able to insulate itself from the downside of falling PC prices. Earlier this year, the company missed its first-quarter revenue target by about $400 million.
Gates: 'I didn't expect that'
One person who was surprised by the news was Microsoft Corp. Chairman and CEO Bill Gates, who alluded to Pfeiffer's departure during a Q+A session at Comdex/Spring today in Chicago.
"I didn't expect that,'' Gates said. "It just goes to show you can't take anything for granted in this industry.''
HP's McDonnell said Compaq's strategy to become an enterprise solutions provider "is in question," largely because Pfeiffer was its chief architect. That theory will not be lost on HP sales people, who will make potential customers aware of Compaq's problems.
It's a plan that has worked well for IBM's RS/6000 division, which for years capitalized on Digital Equipment Corp.'s shaky future by partnering with systems integrator Sector 7 to convert Digital's OpenVMS customers to the RS/6000 platform.
IBM's effort to convert VAX customers haven't slowed since Digital came under the auspices of Compaq, according to one source. Especially now.
Although Dell is also trying to expand beyond its PC roots -- it made its first investment in Red Hat Software Inc. and partnered for enterprise storage -- the company is cognizant of collateral impact associated with such expansion.
"Some companies get in trouble because they induce indigestion [rather than] picking the right opportunities,'' Everett said.




To: J.Maz who wrote (58705)4/19/1999 10:54:00 PM
From: J.Maz  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 97611
 
Final article (for tonight) about CPQ from PC Week:

Off the Cuff
Pfeiffer's obsession with Dell offers clue to downfall
By Michael R. Zimmerman
April 19, 1999 10:45 AM ET

I was on the Compaq beat here at PC Week for about six months when then- CEO and co-founder Rod Canion was ousted due to poor financial performance, which had culminated in the company's first quarterly loss. It was a turbulent time for Compaq and certainly for Canion. During an interview I had with him several months before his resignation, I remember thinking, "This guy is agitated." He sat at the edge of his chair during much of the interview and was visibly impatient and humorless. Though I wasn't present during the interview with now ex-Compaq CEO Eckhard Pfeiffer my colleagues conducted last week at Compaq's Innovate Forum, Charlie Cooper's description of Pfeiffer's appearance and tone brought back memories of that Canion interview.
Though one could count the two men's similarities on one hand (not counting, of course, that they were both ousted due to poor financial performance), one trait was fairly evident: their obsession with rivals and their failure to devise and execute a plan to combat them.
For the latter part of his time at Compaq, Canion seemed almost too focused on low-cost clone makers. In an interview with PC Week back in 1991, Canion dubbed these companies, who after all were only doing what Compaq had been doing, only for a lot less money, "predators."
OK. Rivals, certainly, but predators?
Canion had a plan in mind to combat the bottom-feeding PC makers like Zeos and Northgate. Months after he left the company, ex-executives told me Compaq's biggest enemy at the time was time itself. The time needed to create, manufacture and deliver a low-cost PC line that would, by the way, meet the company's high-quality standards. (Remember, this was a company that was founded on the principle of making quality products first.) Canion, according to these executives, was opposed to the idea of going to an offshore manufacturer for an inexpensive line and simply slapping a Compaq nameplate on the box. The risk to the Compaq image of quality was too great, and Canion was determined to build the line at home. A line was begun.
Enter Pfeiffer, who, along with Chairman Ben Rosen, was convinced that the Taiwan route would enable the company to get into the low-cost market faster and at a lower cost, executives said. After the changing of the guard, Pfeiffer canned Canion's low-cost project and looked to Taiwan. But the line signed onto actually got the thumbs-down from top Compaq brass. Word from the ex-executives was that Pfeiffer reversed himself and fired up the original low-cost line, which would become the Prolinea. Ironically, Canion's low-cost line, if left to be completed, would have shipped several months before the Prolinea wound up shipping.
The root of the 'enterprise' ambitions
Pfeiffer's obsession for the last five years has been with Dell. Not just the company -- Michael Dell, personally. In fact, a colleague of mine pointed out recently that you never knew when Pfeiffer was talking about Michael Dell personally or the company because he always refers to Dell as "he" or "his."
Pfeiffer referenced either the man or the company in virtually every speech and was quick to point out that Dell, too, uses dealers. OK, we get it. But why bother to bring him/it up at all? When was the last time you heard Lou Gerstner mention Eckhard Pfeiffer's name in a speech? Yes, Dell's been taking share away from Compaq and IBM for the last year, if not more. Yes, Dell's direct model has done very well. But did Pfeiffer think that pointing out insignificant differences between the two companies in public would have any impact on public opinion?
Two weeks ago when Compaq announced its new Prosignia line for small business, Pfeiffer did it again. I felt compelled to ask Peter Blackmore, Compaq senior vice president about the Dell references in an interview after the announcement. Blackmore laughed for a few seconds and said something to the affect that Dell is a key competitor, etc., etc. OK.
What kills me about this saga is that Pfeiffer, like Canion, identified his most powerful rival and wanted something done about it. But then something happened. Somewhere along the way he got sidetracked by the notion of becoming an "enterprise company." Bigger is better I suppose. And maybe he thought that by becoming the next HP or IBM, he'd be able to outperform all the smaller vendors. Sounds good in theory. But what's the point if you can't accomplish anything without having to turn to Viagra or things mechanical?
Unfortunately for Pfeiffer, no magic pill could fix the Dell problem. So he embarked on his quest for the enterprise and acquired a handful of networking and high-end computer companies ranging from Thomas Conrad and Microcom to Tandem and, of course, Digital. All the while, Dell was eating away at its bread and butter PC business.
Pfeiffer was right to focus on Dell and wrong to focus on anything else until that was taken care of. Yes, it was important for Compaq to acquire some type of services company, and the company's e-business strategy, while late, is also a crucial component to its future. But it embarked on these initiatives when the Dell problem was still a key concern to Pfeiffer.
To his credit, Pfeiffer did try a few ideas to compete against direct marketers. Compaq Direct Plus was one. A challenge from the start due to the distribution and pricing complications it created for its loyal dealer channel, but an idea, nonetheless.
One idea that surely would have paid off in spades was the acquisition of Gateway that almost took place several years ago. According to sources, Compaq and Gateway, which was privately held at the time, were in serious merger/acquisition discussions when Gateway CEO Ted Waitt walked away from the deal at the last minute. Imagine the success Compaq would have had against Dell if it had been able to make Gateway and Waitt a deal they couldn't refuse. Compaq's dealer worries would have been almost nonexistent, its customer base would have expanded dramatically overnight and its revenue stream would have jumped as well. But it was not to happen and today the company has a rather confusing array of purchasing options that includes dealers, retail, Web and direct sales.
Though I believe Pfeiffer's ousting is a classic case of "what goes around comes around," you can't ignore the incredible wealth he has helped bring to Compaq's investors and shareholders over the last eight years. In fact, my first Off the Cuff column praised Pfeiffer for his no-nonsense approach to the company and the industry. But what it always boils down to is pleasing the investors and the board, and Pfeiffer knows this all too well. The business is unforgiving.
But there is one puzzling thing about this ouster. I can't help but wonder if, despite the dismal estimates, Pfeiffer could have found a way to keep his job. Maybe he could have been more up front about exactly how Compaq was caught off guard by some of the market pressures. You know, make the bad news at least a little more digestible to the board and Compaq investors. Let's face it, telling the world "Don't blow this out of proportion'' and that your troubles are basically the result of intense pricing pressures is a lot like NBA coaches telling us the point percentages are down because the players didn't start practice until late. Huh? Telling us that pricing pressure was one of the main reasons for your problems begs the question: Aren't you supposed to have plans in place to combat such things?
Maybe Pfeiffer could have stayed on if he'd pointed to the worst affected parts of the business and fingered a couple of fall guys.
Worse things have happened.
What do you think Compaq has to do to beat Dell or at least maintain its lead in the PC industry? Contact me at Mike_Zimmerman@zd.com. Off the Cuff, an online exclusive column, appears on Monday, Wednesday and Friday.