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Technology Stocks : AboveNet Communications, Inc. (ABOV) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mr. Miller who wrote (460)5/2/1999 12:14:00 PM
From: David and Elena Krikorian  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 835
 
Mr Miller:

First, thank you for your informative posts. Second, I averaged down on Friday also. In the near term, I feel confident that investors will bid ABOV high enough for me to make a sizable profit (my average cost is $101). Long-term (2-3 years out), I am not sure and this is the purpose of this post.

I have read all that I could find on ABOV and related companies and here are some questions that I have for you or any other thread members to help round out my understanding of the company and its potential:

A. How would cable internet connectivity (ATHM) affect ABOV?
B. How will fiber networks from QWST and LEVL affect ABOV?
C. Do MSPG, ELNK, Juno etc.. see value in ABOV offerings? Would they want to co-locate using ABOV or do they with another company (EXDS)is peering something that they find value in and why and what are they willing to pay for it?
D. I don't think intel will be too serious a threat for many reasons but how does ABOV truly differ itself from EXDS (in terms of real economic value to the customer)
E. How easy will it be for other competitors to duplicate these services? Many other firms offer co-location, the one-hop feature is nice but with better technology on the horizon (ADSL, cable) what is this feature really worth in the long run? I am aware that future applications will require an ever increasing amount of bandwith (voice, video etc.)
F. The foreign partnerships and deals are also sexy in what they appear to hold for the future but how valuable are they today and down the road?
G. Now that the SPO is out of the way, The co will now be able to use its stock as currency for transactional purposes. Who would be likely takeover targets and why?
H. What are the risks for ABOV as you see them and why?

I am trying to decide if I should let this position sit for 2-3 years or more. I am tired of hearing about those who invested and stayed long with AOL, EMC, CSCO, etc.. and are now very wealthy. I am trying to understand if ABOV has a chance to achieve some fraction of this type of success. ABOV is part of a portfolio that includes SFE, VERT, LHSP, ISIP, CNET, NTAP and NTBK.

Thank you for your consideration.

Dave





To: Mr. Miller who wrote (460)5/7/1999 10:11:00 AM
From: Mr. Miller  Respond to of 835
 
Abovenet Communications, Inc.(ABOV)
homesite: above.net
Trailing 12 months revenues: $9,665,000
Quarter ended 3/99 revenues: $3,851,000
EPS for quarter ended 3/99: Actual (0.43) vs. Expected (0.47)
Shares outstanding used for quarterly results: 13,594,600
Chart with 50-day moving average:
tscn.com.

Good Summary of ABOV in the news:
boardwatch.internet.com

Summary of business:
AboveNet Communications, Inc. is a leading provider of Internet connectivity and
co-location
solutions for high bandwidth and business-critical Internet applications. AboveNet is the
architect
of the Internet Service Exchange (ISX) -- a world class network that provides
co-location
services and Internet connectivity for Content Providers and ISPs. The AboveNet
Global
One-Hop Network is designed to deliver fast, scalable and reliable connections to the
Internet
and improve the Internet experience for end-users. With its Tier 1 status and ISO 9002
certification, AboveNet is seeking to serve the global community of the Internet. It will
be connected to the Asian continent and to the European nation via fiberoptic
cables provided by GBLX, and it will be utilizing the fiberoptic network of
MFNX to create a web around large metropolitan areas.

source of following information: above.net
AboveNet Provides the Highest Quality of Internet Bandwidth

The reason AboveNet is the world's finest Co-location solution is because we not only
provide superior connectivity, facility and service, but also the highest quality bandwidth.

AboveNet NOC policy states that when we see a specific line utilization approaching
50% on the bandwidth monitor, we order more bandwidth or add more connections to
meet customer needs. That is one of the
methodologies we employ to guarantee non-congested Internet connectivity.
AboveNet's commitment to our customers can be easily verified by viewing AboveNet's
Internal and external bandwidth usage displayed on the Website bandwidth monitors.

Another major factor of AboveNet bandwidth quality is that your server and networking
equipment co-located at AboveNet are directly connected (1 hop) to the Internet
backbone. Compared with a T1 (1.544Mbps) dedicated leased line ordered from a
local ISP, the quality of a T1 (1.544Mbps) worth of bandwidth AboveNet provides is
guaranteed better because:

1. AboveNet customer server and networking equipment is “1 hop” from
the Internet, whereas a local ISP connection may be many hops
away from the Internet.

2. AboveNet provides ASAPTM asymmetric routing to correct packet
loss being experienced from any of our Internet connections. This
dynamic, pro-active management reduces congestion and increases
bandwidth throughput. Unfortunately, many local ISPs rely on their
upstream ISP for routing and backbone connectivity

3. AboveNet provides guaranteed bandwidth from 256Kbps to 100Mbps.

4. AboveNet provides bandwidth monitoring for each customer through
their own private linked statistical web page.

5. AboveNet, through economies of scale provides superior connectivity
redundancies, which cannot economically be duplicated by a local
ISP.

Also, Abovenet has over 250 peering relationships, a large margin more than
any competitor. An explanation of what this means:
Any ISP can peer with any other at AboveNet. The company has an Open NAP
policy. In
Cage 0, where AboveNet keeps its rack of equipment, there are two Cisco 7500s and
a
Catalyst 5000, among other equipment. At the Catalyst, the network connections of the
collocated content providers is terminated. By connecting a Cisco 2800 running OSPF
to the
Catalyst, ISPs are peered with each other and the content providers. In addition to
keeping with
the tradition of an open Internet, it also keeps local traffic from hitting the bottlenecks on
the
Internet at large - namely the MAEs and the NAPs.

If the company's only customers were ISPs, then peering wouldn't be all that effective.
The
beauty of this situation is that AboveNet's customers are both ISPs and content
providers. So,
whenever a customer ISP needs data fromLiquidAudio (www.liquidaudio.com), for
example,
the traffic never leaves AboveNet's 100 Mbps local area network. This is because
LiquidAudio
has its servers in the AboveNet facility.

In the far left corner of the eighteenth floor room is a large cage filled with racks upon
racks of
Sun Raid and Enterprise servers. These belong to Supernews (www.supernews.com), a
company that provides Usenet news service to ISPs. Most of its customers are
scattered
throughout the world, but those located at AboveNet enjoy the same advantages of
peering with
other ISPs and content providers. Their news feeds are provided directly from
Supernews, once
again on AboveNet's LAN, and never touch the Internet or the NAPs.

What is specifically happening now:
Abovenet has completed its common offering of shares to raise capital. Post
secondary shares outstanding will be approximately 16.5 million. Abovenet has just
reported its
quarterly results(4/22/99). Abovenet is splitting its stock effective at the close of trading
May 7, 1999.

Regarding the secondary offering:

USE OF PROCEEDS
We currently expect to use $56.0 million to $72.0 million of the net proceeds of
this offering for capital expenditures associated with our planned expansion of
our West and East Coast campuses. We also expect to use a significant amount
of
the net proceeds for the purchase of fiber optic capacity and related equipment.
In addition, we intend to use a portion of the net proceeds for strategic
investments in companies developing Internet service exchange facilities in
Europe and Asia.

The balance of the net proceeds of this offering will be used for working
capital and general corporate purposes. Although we may use a portion of the
net
proceeds for possible acquisitions of businesses or technologies that are
complementary to our business, there are no current plans in this regard. We
may, however, change the allocation of these proceeds in response to
developments or changes that affect our business, our industry. Our
management
may spend the proceeds from this offering in ways with which the stockholders
may not deem desirable. Pending use of the net proceeds for the above
purposes,
we plan to invest such funds in short-term, investment grade, interest-bearing
securities. We cannot predict that the proceeds will be invested to yield a
favorable return.

(Mr. Miller's only affiliation with Abovenet Communications, Inc is that of an individual
investor in Abovenet Communications, Inc.)