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To: Howard Feinstein who wrote (25055)5/6/1999 6:05:00 PM
From: KYA27  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 77400
 
Analysis:Cisco's WAN strategy is anyone's guess Death, delay
of switches and only one new platform to show from StrataCom
buy.

By JIM DUFFY
Network World Fusion, 05/06/99

Now that Cisco has killed off its ATM switch for the core of
enterprise and service provider WANs, the company's plans for this segment of
the market are unclear.

Cisco is banking on increased sales of WAN switching gear to enterprises and
service providers to drive the company's growth. But this week's news that
Cisco discontinued development of its core WAN switch and delayed another
enterprise switch for a year
indicates that success for Cisco in this market may be more challenging than
expected.

Analysts, competitors and other Cisco watchers say the company's long-term
WAN switching strategy for enterprises and service providers is still unfocused
three years after Cisco's $4
billion acquisition of StrataCom. They say Cisco has shipped only one new
WAN switching platform since it acquired StrataCom - the MGX 8850 IP/ATM
edge switch, which is shipping in limited volume.

Other platforms are merely upgrades of existing StrataCom architectures. And
Cisco has lost market share in frame relay WAN switching since acquiring
StrataCom, according to Vertical Systems Group of Dedham, Mass.

"In frame switching they've decreased because (Ascend's Cascade switches) got
developed and rolled out," says Rosemary Cochran,
principal at Vertical Systems Group.

Cisco rebuffed repeated requests from Network World this week for interviews
with company executives on the state of its WAN switching business. Cisco did,
however, respond to queries from other publications regarding this topic as
those publications contacted Network World for commentary.

Among the questions swirling around Cisco's WAN switching business are
these:

What is Cisco's strategic core WAN switch?

Is Cisco truly "agnostic" when it comes to IP and ATM technologies for the
WAN?

How has Cisco benefited from its StrataCom acquisition?

Does Cisco still have - or has it ever had - a strategy for WAN switching at the
edge and core of enterprise and service
provider networks?

The death of the 20G bit/sec TGX 8750 seems to leave Cisco without a core
IP/ATM WAN switch to challenge offerings from Ascend, Newbridge and
Nortel and with a gaping hole in its "end-to-end" voice/data system story. From
a short-term revenue standpoint, that may not be disastrous because Cisco has
said in the past that the revenue potential at the edge of the
network is 15 times that of the core.

But longer term, a lack of presence in the core may mean a lack of customer
lock-in and the additional hardware and software revenue that comes with it.

In any event, the TGX 8750 was supposed to serve as proof of the synergy
between Cisco and StrataCom, that IP from Cisco could be
"married" to ATM from StrataCom to provide the best of both packet- and cell
switching for enterprises and service providers. ... (cont)