To: Hawaii60 who wrote (7472 ) 5/8/1999 12:34:00 PM From: Jules B. Garfunkel Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 30916
All, Earlier this week I asked the thread to consider the implications of the ATT acquisition of Media One. Although, I did not mention it at the time, the later announcement by Microsoft, that they would invest in the new ATT venture, underscored the dynamic changes that are taking place in the Internet Industry. These significant changes were highlighted this last week by the acceleration of the "Internet over Cable" approach. I asked the thread twice to consider what implications these announcements might have on IDTC. Unfortunately, I only got two replies to my request, and neither conjectured what impact it might have on IDTC. It appears to me, that it is no coincidence that the traditional Internet stocks have all been dropping in price ever since AT&T announced its intent to acquire Media One. Subsequent to those announcements, a new urgency has emerged. An urgency that has dictated that the more traditional, "Internet over Copper Telephony line" companies must respond to.... and respond to quickly. These "Internet over telephone lines" companies must now rapidly revamp their broadband growth plans. If they do not respond quickly, they risk loosing the momentum that has clearly been established over the last two years, and loose control over their own destiny. It is for these reasons, I believe, that the anticipated announcements from IDT have been delayed. (I do not buy IDT's explanation that they must have 100% of the bonds converted, before they make their anticipated series of announcements). However, more significant for us IDTC shareholers,in my opinion, is that the value of IDT has gone up dramatically subsequent to the ATT, MSFT, Media One announcement. The ability of a company to offer Voice Over the Internet is a unique application. It is an application that AT&T is vulnerable to. It is an application that AT&T will not be able to match with its Internet over Cable for many years to come. Add to IDT's Net2Phone; their Fiber Optic Network already in place, their expanding reliable ISP business, and their existing 5000 subscriber Geni base, all here NOW, and you have a VERY VALUABLE company for many of these Internet companies. Adding IDT's applications to a Internet company's traditional offerings, I believe, will go a long way in lessening the threat of the Internet over Cable, and allow these companies to have a stronger position from which they can continue to control their own destiny. My conclusion therefore, is that whatever IDT was worth a month ago, it is worth much more subsequent to the AT&T, MSFT and Media One announcement. Calculating exactly how much more, is what, I think, is taking IDT the time to figure out over the last three weeks. It is why, I believe, they have delayed their announcements with Softbank, and the Net2Phone IPO, final plans. Just my opinion, Jules