SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Microcap & Penny Stocks : Globalstar Telecommunications Limited GSAT -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Goodboy who wrote (4571)5/13/1999 11:53:00 AM
From: CMon  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 29987
 
Why not post these comments on the IRID thread, guys? It's too quiet over there.

As for the junk, I don't think MOT has to necessarily walk for the debt behind their guaranteed facility to be impaired in a restructuring.



To: Goodboy who wrote (4571)5/13/1999 1:45:00 PM
From: djane  Respond to of 29987
 
Greenberg. Why the News Could Go From Bad to Worse for Iridium
By Herb Greenberg
Senior Columnist
5/13/99 6:30 AM ET

What more can possibly be said about problems at Iridium
World Communications (IRID:Nasdaq)?

With its well-hyped satellite phones, Iridium has made
mincemeat of itself. Too few customers. Lousy financial
results. Executive turmoil. It's in default of debt covenants.
Questions about whether satellite phones are all they're
cracked up to be. (Didn't ya just love James Cramer's
story about how he pulled his Iridium phone out on some
deserted island, which is the point of the thing, and it didn't
work?)

Yet, according to longtime Iridium skeptics, the story could
get worse.

Let's start with the debt issue. Iridium has until May 31 to
settle up with its banks, which had granted a 60-day
extension on a deadline to meet debt covenants calling for
the company to meet specific subscriber and revenue
targets by the end of March. At the time it had less than
half the required 27,000 subscribers. What happens if the
banks get tough?

Well, the answer is that it'll be harder for the company to
raise more cash, which it almost certainly will have to do.
The company's bonds, which trade at around 30 cents on
the dollar, are already signaling that Iridium could have to
do some kind of drastic restructuring. And no matter what
Iridium does, it'll almost certainly be dilutive to a stock that
has already fallen 78% from its high.

Consider the possibilities:

According to the 10-K of Iridium's parent, Iridium LLC,
under certain circumstances certain investors have agreed
to purchase additional stock in the company for up to $243
million. (Dilution.)

Also, if Iridium's financial performance doesn't improve, it
could be forced to give more warrants in its stock to
Motorola (MOT:NYSE), a large investor and the backer of
a large chunk of its debt. (More dilution.)

Finally, if the company can't find cash any other way, it
could have to issue more stock. (Yikes, even more
dilution.).

An Iridium spokeswoman said the company is currently
sticking with a no-comment policy on its financials.

Lernahoulian Alert

BancBoston Robertson Stephens analyst John Powers,
whose firm was an underwriter of Lernout & Hauspie's
(LHSP:Nasdaq) secondary stock offering pulled the plug on
Lernout yesterday, by downgrading it to a long-term
attractive from a buy. He based his call on "external and
internal business concerns ... as we believe there could be
income and/or balance sheet pressures over the next few
quarters." His laundry list of issues includes increased
competition from the recent partnership of IBM (IBM:NYSE)
and Philips Electronics (PHG:NYSE), the ability to
integrate acquisitions and the company's relationship with
Microsoft (MSFT:Nasdaq).

Powers, who had downgraded Network Associates
(NETA:Nasdaq) before its big cliff dive, didn't return my call.
And two Lernout spokeswomen didn't respond to my written
questions.

Herb Greenberg writes daily for TheStreet.com. In keeping
with TSC's editorial policy, he doesn't own or short individual
stocks, though he owns stock in TheStreet.com. He also
doesn't invest in hedge funds or other private investment
partnerships. He welcomes your feedback at
herb@thestreet.com. Greenberg also writes a monthly
column for Fortune.