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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Think4Yourself who wrote (44745)5/14/1999 11:31:00 AM
From: Gary Burton  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
MAVK+ 1/2 in a down market--currently my only oil oriented holding at the moment



To: Think4Yourself who wrote (44745)5/14/1999 11:37:00 AM
From: tdl4138  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
Don't forget the cost to ship merchandise will rise as energy prices increase...



To: Think4Yourself who wrote (44745)5/14/1999 11:39:00 AM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Today's dip another good buying opportunity.

Yamani sounding very bullish on oil prices


thr 041
opec-cges
outlook bright for opec, says uk analysts
london, may 13, irna - the centre for global energy studies says that
the "outlook is bright" for opec providing its members maintain a
reasonable amount of self-discipline over the next six months.
"unlike this time last year, iraqi oil supplies are already at
peak levels and lower liftings in march have removed the year-on-year
surplus in stocks at sea, so that there is no huge volume of oil in
transit," it said in its global oil report.
the london-based-centre, chaired by former saudi oil minister zaki
yamani, projected that a 75 per cent compliance rate with agreed
output cuts could "remove over 100 million barrels" from atlantic
basin storage by the fourth quarter of this year.
its latest monthly forecast in april suggested that the price of
benchmark brent crude could rise to 21 dollars per barrel by the end
of the year, if opec complied fully with the latest round of agreed
cuts.
hc/hm
end
::irna 13/05/99 23:36



To: Think4Yourself who wrote (44745)5/14/1999 11:52:00 AM
From: Think4Yourself  Respond to of 95453
 
For those expecting OPEC to cheat...

Indonesia Says Oil Income Surged as Supply Cuts Kicked In, Prices Rose

Singapore, May 14 (Bloomberg) -- Indonesia, the only Asian
member of the 11-member Organization of Petroleum Exporting
Countries, said it will stick with an OPEC pledge to cut oil
output because its income soared as prices rose.
''The price rise has exceeded our expectations. We will
continue with the oil supply cuts because it's obviously
benefiting us,'' said Iin Arifin Takhyan, director of exploration
and production at the Ministry of Mines and Energy.

Indonesia's benchmark Minas crude has risen as much as 84
percent since touching a 10-year low of $9.59 a barrel in
December last year. Benchmark Brent crude oil closed at $16.10 a
barrel yesterday in London, up 3.2 percent.

Higher oil prices give Indonesia's economy, now in its worst
recession in 30 years, a welcome windfall. The extra cash could
help trim its budget deficit, which stood at 500 billion rupiah
($64 million) in April 1999. More cash from oil would also lessen
dependence on foreign aid, needed to help Indonesia pay off
nearly $60 billion in U.S. dollar debt.

In estimating income from crude oil in its budget for this
year, Indonesia set a price of $10.50 a barrel. With prices 60
percent higher at about $17 a barrel, the country could receive
$7.4 billion a year from oil, compared with the budgeted amount
of $4.9 billion. That assumes prices stay at $17 a barrel.
''We only need for prices to reach $11 a barrel to meet our
budget. Now it is way above that level,'' said Iin.

Essentials

The influx of oil money may also help the government fund
subsidies for essential goods in the country as millions of
Indonesians teeter on the poverty line, defined as living on less
than $1 a day.
''The increase in oil revenue gives the government more
flexibility in continuing their social programs,'' said Tan Min
Lan, regional economist at Merrill Lynch Singapore Pte. The
programs include oil and food subsidies to keep prices of
essentials low.

She said the extra income helped deflect the government's
need to raise taxes to boost revenue.

Indonesia, though, does not want oil to rise above $18 a
barrel as it could depress demand. Iin said Indonesia sells about
70 percent of its crude oil to Japan, which is suffering its
worst recession since World War II.

PT Pertamina, Indonesia's state oil company, said this week
it will pump 1.187 million barrels a day, or seven percent less
than a year ago, in May and June. This meets its latest pledge to
cut output.

Oil producers agreed late March to cut global oil supply by
2.1 million barrels, or 2.7 percent. The cuts aim to end a glut
which pushed prices to a 12-year low of $9.55 a barrel in
December.

Prices have since risen as much as 79 percent and oil
producers seem determined to keep a lid on supply.

OPEC said yesterday its members made 82 percent of the oil
output cuts in April, up from 73 percent in March.