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Technology Stocks : Safeguard Scientifics SFE -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Allan Harris who wrote (2867)5/18/1999 3:49:00 PM
From: Micawber  Respond to of 4467
 
Alan (OT): So YOU are the walrus. I thought it was Paul.



To: Allan Harris who wrote (2867)5/18/1999 4:00:00 PM
From: michael r potter  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4467
 
Allan, exactly right. Most should keep that in perspective, and not lose sight of the forest for the trees. Despite posting about some short term buys and sells, and trading on them as I do, the vast majority would be best served by owning companies they believe have a very bright long term future and hanging on through all the ups and downs. On the long term holdings [including SFE], there have been huge swings up and down, but as in the case of SFE and TLAB, many others, it didn't matter hardly at all if you bought them at the yearly high 5 years ago or the yearly low 5 years ago. What is the difference if the adjusted cost basis is $2.35 or $3.50. The vital thing is to have owned them and not gotten shook out by the short term volatility. If a lot of short term timing is involved, it is to easy to not get back in for a number of reasons and look back years hence and wonder why the stock is not owned. So far this year, short term trading has added to my performance significantly and I will continue to do it and highlight short and long term opportunities, but am well aware of the numerous risks and costs involved and therefore, keep it at something like 25% of overall portfolio. There are a lot of reasons stocks should be sold, but short term volatility in itself is certainly not one of them. Most would be best served by buy and hold, at least if the past is any guide. IMO, most [but not all], should stay away from options in any form, because the learning curve can be quite expensive in the long run, and not just in ways that are stated in the books. Thanks, your comments are very apt. Mike



To: Allan Harris who wrote (2867)5/18/1999 4:21:00 PM
From: Rob Palmer  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 4467
 
Glad to see you are still lurking Alan! I was very impressed by the accuracy and speed of your previous $100 target. I have owned SFE for 5+ years now and don't intend to sell anytime soon. It's hard to sell such a stellar performer.

OT - Speaking of stock I intend to hold for the long haul, have you ever taken a look at AXC? Just curious. Quite the turnaround/transformation story.



To: Allan Harris who wrote (2867)5/20/1999 8:06:00 AM
From: JZGalt  Respond to of 4467
 
Thought you might like this

Citigroup's Reed sees U.S. corporate future online

''The burden is on us to embrace the Internet, to get our business onto the Internet,'' Reed said. ''Those of us with more conventional (business) systems are at risk.''

Traditional, hierarchical management structures gradually are giving way to looser organizational set-ups involving more joint ventures and
contractual relationships, partly as a result of the Internet, he said, addressing the topic of business trends in the coming century.

''We were relying on command and control structures we learned from the railroads and the military,'' Reed said of U.S. industry. ''But now we are finding the command and control structures are having to compete with looser forms of organization...My sense is the new forms of organization will be more effective than the old ones were.''

Wall Street was willing to pay high prices to buy shares of companies that were trawling online for new business, fueling a rise in Internet
stocks that Reed said might be justified given the opportunities the new channel offered.

''We look at the stock market and see the prices of Internet stocks and say that it is an aberration,'' Reed said. ''But I think the market is telling us that the Internet is an immensely powerful vehicle...''