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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Teflon who wrote (22894)5/19/1999 10:48:00 AM
From: taxman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74651
 
"your Dell Calls?"

i remained short may 45 call, thus mitigating loss on long stock position.

regards



To: Teflon who wrote (22894)5/19/1999 11:06:00 AM
From: Sir Francis Drake  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 74651
 
I wasn't surprised by Dell's earnings, so much as Michael Dell's bullish comments before the earnings. I think many took that to mean Dell would blow away the #s like in the good old days. When that didn't happen I think a lot of credibility was lost - fairly or not. From now on people will become a lot more skeptical of what the man says. When a stock is priced to perfection, any tiny shadow can have huge consequences. The report itself is very positive IMO - it's hard to fault Dell's performance. But that is not the point - the shareprice is at a level where such performance *and better* is necessary in order to maintain price momentum in the stock. Following the Feb blow, this is another (minor) blow. This is a great company by any measure. But the stock may have seen its greatest appreciation. From now on, the "benefit of doubt" will not be there anymore - Dell will have to "earn" a higher multiple the hard way.

Interesting comparison to MSFT. In some ways, MSFT can also be said to have had it's greatest growth behind it (by this I mean share appreciation year on year). But the reason I have no intention of dumping MSFT, and why it continues to be the anchor of my portfolio, is that MSFT is such a diversified company, with such tremendous resources, and such far-reaching management, it is possible, just possible, that MSFT will actually be able to enter another high speed growth stage that will last for years. From this point of view, I feel a lot better throwing MSFT into my portfolio and "forgetting" it. I can't say the same thing about Dell - great company though it is.



To: Teflon who wrote (22894)5/19/1999 11:25:00 AM
From: taxman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74651
 
"DELL...may never recover"

earnings will double in less than 3 years. i see $2+ earnings per share by fiscal january 2004. (this is also value line projection)

regards



To: Teflon who wrote (22894)5/19/1999 12:18:00 PM
From: Jill  Respond to of 74651
 
OT Dell
Edamo had some interesting posts/perceptions on DELL thread--they are performing brilliantly as a company still, but perceived as a boxmaker whose huge potential now slowing--it's the perception of "slowing" of what you call platinum highs that is killing them--thus like Gerstner last week they need to re-frame their vision so market can get thrilled again by the dream. Aloha disagreed w/ that post and thought they'd just ride the short-term punishment and continue to mature as a company, but I agree w/ Ed. I'm a bit upset but simply holding my shares for at least 2 more quarters, but my percentage gain has gone from about 250% way down (I bought pre split while they were dipping, average about 42)

Jill