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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (31695)6/3/1999 10:39:00 PM
From: Ruffian  Respond to of 152472
 
Maurice,>

Top Financial News
Thu, 03 Jun 1999, 10:36pm EDT

Telecom N.Z. Increases Stake in AAPT, Unlikely to
Launch Takeover Offer
By Duncan Craig

Telecom N.Z. Buys More AAPT Stock, Seen Moving to 19.9% Stake

Sydney, June 4 (Bloomberg) -- Telecom Corp., New Zealand's
largest phone company, has lifted its stake in Australia's No. 3
ranked carrier AAPT Ltd., and is expected to secure 19.9 percent
of the company today, the maximum limit it can buy before making
a full takeover bid.

Sydney-based broker Macquarie Equities Ltd. bought 26.11
million AAPT shares, or 8.7 percent of the company, at an average
price of A$4.99 (US$3.24) a share. That will take Telecom's stake
in AAPT to 18 percent.
''Telecom New Zealand is buying and we believe institutional
shareholders are selling,'' AAPT spokesman Mark Devine said. ''It
sounds like they will go as far as they can up to the 19.9
percent threshold.''

Telecom held a 9.2 percent stake in AAPT, acquired last
month at A$5.70 a share. Its entry onto the share register
frustrated a A$1.5 billion hostile takeover bid from Cable &
Wireless Optus Ltd., Australia's No. 2 carrier. The Optus bid was
blocked by the nation's competition regulator on Monday.

Telecom N.Z. has indicated it wants a controlling stake in
AAPT, of up to 50 percent of the company, though it hasn't ruled
out a full takeover bid.

Overall, about 27.4 million AAPT shares were traded, more
than 12 times the daily average traded over the past six months.
Its the most actively traded company on the Australian Stock
Exchange today.

AAPT shares rose 16 cents to A$4.96, while Telecom shares
rose 12 New Zealand cents to NZ$8.54.

Telecom is 24.95 percent-owned by U.S. phone company Bell
Atlantic Corp.



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (31695)6/4/1999 10:45:00 AM
From: Gregg Powers  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 152472
 
Maurice:

Please...immediately obtain an anti-hypertensive!

I think you know my style well enough to assume that I always tend toward the conservative side. I know what the Koreans have said publicly and privately about royalties; I know what I have been told by MOT and LU personnel. I also diligently attempt to track total CDMA-related product sales to Qualcomm's reported royalties. I recognize that lags and other data distortions corrupt the latter analysis, but I hope to improve the net granularity over time.

I know that there are customer specific factors that modify the net royalty received. Early on, for example, MOT had a significant royalty sharing arrangement. We all know of ETRI's claims with regard to royalties derived from domestic Korea CDMA sales etc. The point is that while my internal royalty metric is somewhat fluid, it has been tracking northward for the last six quarters. Having said that, there is a difference between what I 'know' and what I 'conclude by analysis'. Whenever such a difference is material, I opt to provide the Forum with the more conservative conclusions.

Hopefully this is responsive.

All the best,

Gregg