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Strategies & Market Trends
The Residential Real Estate Crash Index
An SI Board Since June 2001
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
306849 644 0 $HGX
Emcee:  patron_anejo_por_favor Type:  Unmoderated
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ReplyMessage PreviewFromPosted
54907Why can't you believe I wrote that? I have some pretty good scars from CPN Think4Yourself5/25/2006
54906that is amazing that San Antonio is on that list. you have no idea how cheap houWyätt Gwyön5/25/2006
54905However, the market dictates differently. The mass of development is happening iBroken_Clock5/25/2006
54904>>>somehow thinking the panhandle will do well even though the historicChanceIs5/25/2006
54903>>>I believe MIR and CPN are excellent analogies when considering JOE&#ChanceIs5/25/2006
54902NVR is the best builder to trade lately, imo, it is one hell of a fun stock. LoTravis_Bickle5/25/2006
54901You guys could be right that the debt takes the company down the tubes if the deJohn Vosilla5/25/2006
54900The thing about JOE is that those enamored with it are somehow thinking the panhBroken_Clock5/25/2006
54899I believe MIR and CPN are excellent analogies when considering JOE's situatiThink4Yourself5/25/2006
54898JOE is expanding debt. Without buyers for their condos and overpriced lots, how Broken_Clock5/25/2006
54897True but there seems to be a serious disconnect between land values and the stocJohn Vosilla5/25/2006
54896I don't see it that way. JOE posted 5¢ last Q. That tells me they can bBroken_Clock5/25/2006
54895Florida land prices up roughly 10 to 15 times in five years. JOE stock price onlJohn Vosilla5/25/2006
54894I figure Sept and Dec 40 or 45 puts will be much cheaper by early July assuming John Vosilla5/25/2006
54893Foreclosure Rates Soar in Metropolitan Chicago biz.yahoo.com Area high for foreCalculatedRisk5/25/2006
54892Amazing they are calling areas hot that have many of the highest foreclosure ratJohn Vosilla5/25/2006
54891I covered yesterday but now am back to nearly a full position. Down the road weTravis_Bickle5/25/2006
54890Makes you wonder why Aames would sell out at half the IPO price of last year andJohn Vosilla5/25/2006
54889>>>the value of the real estate in the cooling off part of the country ChanceIs5/25/2006
54888I think it shows in part why LEND stayed parabolic. My guess is insiders and inJohn Vosilla5/25/2006
54887"Half of the country is heating up and half the country is cooling off"Travis_Bickle5/25/2006
54886Saw this on the yahoo board: 11:01 LEND briefing.com Platinum.aspx?PagePrefix=ITravis_Bickle5/25/2006
54885New Signs of Cooling Housing Market Thursday May 25, 2:12 pm ET By Martin CrutsChanceIs5/25/2006
54884Wow. Nice chart. I wonder how long LEND will take to catch up.orkrious5/25/2006
54883LEND versus AIC since it went public last year. finance.yahoo.comJohn Vosilla5/25/2006
54882April Home Sales ‘Plummet’ In Florida The Florida realtors have the April numbeTravis_Bickle5/25/2006
54881Ooops. The data is correct - just the date labels wrong.CalculatedRisk5/25/2006
54880April of 96? photos1.blogger.comild5/25/2006
54879Here are some graphs ... Existing-Home Sales Slip calculatedrisk.blogspot.comCalculatedRisk5/25/2006
54878DJ Freddie Mac 30-Yr Fixed Rate Rises To 6.62% From 6.60% NEW YORK (Dow JonePaul Kern5/25/2006
54877From the NARs’ PDF file; US resale inventory: in millions. 2.474..Apr. 2005 2.Travis_Bickle5/25/2006
54876*DJ Freddie Mac 30-Yr Fixed Rate Rises To 6.62% From 6.60% *DJ Freddie Mac 15-Paul Kern5/25/2006
54875Back into JOE but more puts this time. Decided to spread with some Sept and alsoBroken_Clock5/25/2006
54874March was $218K. March last year was $203K There are 190,000 more homes on theThink4Yourself5/25/2006
54873Re: <i>Median price up 4.2% to 223K</i> I think that's vs. lastDan35/25/2006
54872They are suspect but are probably more reliable than the new home sales, at leasThink4Yourself5/25/2006
54871Don't forget that the "numbers" just released from NAR are not reatdl41385/25/2006
5487010:00 AM ET 5/25/06 FLA, CALIF., ARIZ. HOUSING MARKETS COOLING: NAR 10:00 AM ETTravis_Bickle5/25/2006
54869Existing home sales down 2% to 6.76 mil vs 6.75 mil expected Inv up another 5.8Think4Yourself5/25/2006
54868Thanks shorted it and a little RYL too.Travis_Bickle5/25/2006
54867<i>And I got caught flat on LEND after all this time, bummer.</i> horkrious5/25/2006
54866They were probably not Ryland Homes condos where you saw them doing this. I'GraceZ5/25/2006
54865The Colonygladman5/25/2006
54864Revised GDP Posts 5.3% Increase, Fastest Quarterly Gain Since 2003 >>>ChanceIs5/25/2006
54863"We do not expect Ryland to be alone in announcing sharp declines in ordersTravis_Bickle5/25/2006
54862It's not down that much at the moment.orkrious5/25/2006
54861And I got caught flat on LEND after all this time, bummer.Travis_Bickle5/25/2006
54860Accredited Home Lenders Holding Co. to Acquire Aames Investment Corp. Thursday Morkrious5/25/2006
54859GDP revised up to 5.6%, street was looking for 5.8%. Don't see how you pausTravis_Bickle5/25/2006
54858More evidence of tumbling prices: from Naples: "I've seen some propertJohn Vosilla5/25/2006
54857Good luck! It seems you've got a lot of pricing flexibility to catch one ofbentway5/24/2006
54856>>You ought to flip that sucker IMMEDIATELY!<vvbg><< Like a wgladman5/24/2006
54855>>preconstruction a long time ago<< we got in real early, we'vegladman5/24/2006
54854Finally, a realtor that earns her 6% commission! ;0)Doughboy5/24/2006
54853The insurors are liable to use this a another way to raise rates across a broad renovator5/24/2006
54852That's great news for speculators who want out of contracts as it's a maThink4Yourself5/24/2006
54851It may not be leakage, but they haven't learned anything. I saw a row of 4 hBWAC5/24/2006
54850re: "they still have something like 8 bucks a share in EPS to warn away oveThink4Yourself5/24/2006
54849This warning may be priced in, but they still have something like 8 bucks a sharpatron_anejo_por_favor5/24/2006
54848XFC, Thanks for the reply. BillBill/WA5/24/2006
54847You ought to flip that sucker IMMEDIATELY!<vvbg>bentway5/24/2006
54846"Big Lots is still my favorite emporium." You are missing the fantastbentway5/24/2006
54845Is the housing bubble bursting? Experts say not yet, but power is shifting from CalculatedRisk5/24/2006
54844Hey divided government is good for budget balancing. Yeah it did sound funny eveJohn Vosilla5/24/2006
54843If other areas operate like the Big Island then nothing affordable ever does getBroken_Clock5/24/2006
54842But the greatest need in many bubble markets these days is affordable started hoJohn Vosilla5/24/2006
54841Congrats. Sounds like you bought preconstruction a long time ago..John Vosilla5/24/2006
54840Ryland's warning: This news is probably priced in already. The stock has beezebra4o15/24/2006
54839I think State Farm just raise the premium (and they are not selling new policy).XoFruitCake5/24/2006
54838<<< I'll bet only a very few areas of the country (mostly coastal)jjs_ynot5/24/2006
54837Jim, One of my daughters who lives in Jupiter told me State Farm & AllstateBill/WA5/24/2006
54836<i>That's why they are rich. They live like ordinary folk and usually Wyätt Gwyön5/24/2006
54835which development? Pelican Landing? MPMoneyPenny5/24/2006
54834You ought to flip that sucker <vbg>Travis_Bickle5/24/2006
54833<i>Ryland repurchased 2.2 million shares of its common stock year to date orkrious5/24/2006
54832>>condo market here and everywhere else<< We're closing next wgladman5/24/2006
54831Ryland warns, cuts outlook: marketwatch.com{106D3B87-D979-43C5-B4F7-2EF4F50BA74Travis_Bickle5/24/2006
54830delete dupLive2Sail5/24/2006
54829There are those who believe that real estate in the Bay Area will always go up. Live2Sail5/24/2006
54828<<What happens if the democrats win in Nov..>> Got any specific oneTradelite5/24/2006
54827"What happens if the democrats win in Nov and demand the federal budget getLive2Sail5/24/2006
54826Yep, I suspect that cancellations get counted in the revised total, but not the patron_anejo_por_favor5/24/2006
54825>>> The rich people I know care A LOT how much things cost! That's Tommaso5/24/2006
54824The rich people I know care A LOT how much things cost! That's why they areThink4Yourself5/24/2006
54823And now a company has to really work hard hide their liabilities OBS, what with Live2Sail5/24/2006
54822Which areas are you following? Google-central still holding steady.Live2Sail5/24/2006
54821<<I can't think of a single home-owner friend who could afford to buy Tradelite5/24/2006
54820Here are the New Home Sales comparisons between '04, '05 and '06 (noCalculatedRisk5/24/2006
54819I don't have any particular knowledge of Bay Area real estate or conditions.Schnullie5/24/2006
54818"At this point we're talking about 20% of huge numbers ($4 - $5K per moXoFruitCake5/24/2006
54817I know a little about both those builders, and my impression is that NVR caters Tradelite5/24/2006
54816<i>It doesn't make an ounce of sense to compare the number of home salSchnullie5/24/2006
54815I really don't know. You could be right about the markets here. I live herLizzie Tudor5/24/2006
54814Thanks for posting that. I still have trouble believing the pricing and activitySchnullie5/24/2006
54813Don't have energy to reply to all your points, but I'll tackle this one.Tradelite5/24/2006
54812Also compare Comstock to NVR. Why is the former crap while the latter carries aTravis_Bickle5/24/2006
54811<I>First of all, my sense from posters here is that activity in NY and in Lizzie Tudor5/24/2006
54810A tale of extreme divergence between these two builders this year. Notice the oJohn Vosilla5/24/2006
54809"rich people couldn't care less how much something costs and they don&#John Vosilla5/24/2006
54808<i> I'll bet only a very few areas of the country (mostly coastal) areSchnullie5/24/2006
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