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Strategies & Market Trends
The Residential Real Estate Crash Index
An SI Board Since June 2001
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
306849 645 0 $HGX
Emcee:  patron_anejo_por_favor Type:  Unmoderated
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ReplyMessage PreviewFromPosted
58907In some of the wealthier towns up here, the police, teachers, etc. live in far fLive2Sail8/2/2006
58906We just finished 10-14 days of scorching heat over the whole west coast. ThankfuLive2Sail8/2/2006
58905The Case for Countrywide Deteriorating Housing Market Bodes Ill Despite DiversifChanceIs8/2/2006
58904<I>I will be above the top 100 again within a year.</I>,...becarefulmanny_velasco8/2/2006
58903<i>The math is simple for anyone except Wall Street analysts. If the cost mishedlo8/2/2006
58902Here is my dump Gold post... Message 22395351 End of April first of May... Oh Beachside Bill8/2/2006
58901>>>There are some hedge funds that specialize in buying these converts ChanceIs8/2/2006
58900LMVTX letter to shareholders The third area where we have not fared well has beLes H8/2/2006
58899Commodities like coal, gold, copper, crops have been falling... I got out of GolBeachside Bill8/2/2006
58898"If the cost goes up, the price goes up. The story is the same for land. ThXoFruitCake8/2/2006
58897JOE's forward p/e is quite a bit higher than GOOG's.Travis_Bickle8/2/2006
58896GFY ...really...cost me a ton since May.Beachside Bill8/2/2006
58895GFY = Good For You? ;)Think4Yourself8/2/2006
58894Texas Jury Deliberates Fate Of Ex-Dynegy, El Paso Traders DOW JONES NEWSWIRES AChanceIs8/2/2006
58893The less sophisticated CFO's will issue these "death-spiral" conveLive2Sail8/2/2006
58892Guess there is no proof behind the puddin.Beachside Bill8/2/2006
58891<i>Now....let's see yours.</i> lol, GFY. Now I'll listen torkrious8/2/2006
58890No... not my real port but has my sentiment for the last 3 years... Too bad the Beachside Bill8/2/2006
58889Ladies and Gentlemen, Just put the little pr!ck on ignore. No point giving him Paul Kern8/2/2006
58888<i>Too bad it is not listed with the losses anymore.</i> Too bad weorkrious8/2/2006
58887<i>JOE is at it again +1.84 outpacing other homies.</i> I tried to orkrious8/2/2006
58886Yeah... I saw Patron Portfolio since 2001. Too bad it is not listed with the loBeachside Bill8/2/2006
58885"Give the thread hell" Huh? This thread has made me a lot of $$$damainman8/2/2006
58884Stand aside for a couple of months. every falls at the end of Sept.Beachside Bill8/2/2006
58883I may dip a toe in if it hits the mid 50's - the darkside of course <gg&gdamainman8/2/2006
58882Short squeeze. I'm standing aside until it exhausts itself. patron_anejo_por_favor8/2/2006
58881Give the thread hell. Technicals are higher for the sector.Beachside Bill8/2/2006
58880JOE is at it again +1.84 outpacing other homies.damainman8/2/2006
58879July '05 was the top. We've discussed it here many times (including in rpatron_anejo_por_favor8/2/2006
58878Still 25 % up from last year...National Foreclosures Decrease 16 Percent in SecoBeachside Bill8/2/2006
58877If they wanted to, they could be energy self sufficient there very quickly, due patron_anejo_por_favor8/2/2006
58876>>>Once a sector is out of favor, it's lights out.<<< ThaChanceIs8/2/2006
58875Mr market screws as many as he can on either side.. Attempt is for euphoria befoJohn Vosilla8/2/2006
58874We already have record foreclosures for some time in Colorado, Ohio and Texas. John Vosilla8/2/2006
58873'If the cost goes up, the price goes up. The story is the same for land. TheJohn Vosilla8/2/2006
58872RE:"How is the default rate from last year...anyone got that data?" IJim McMannis8/2/2006
58871How is the default rate from last year...anyone got that data?Beachside Bill8/2/2006
58870Home loan demand sinks to four-year low Yahoo News ^ | 8-2-06 | Julie Haviv NEWProud_Infidel8/2/2006
58869Fed rate went from 5 to 7%+ from 1995 - 2000... analyst called the end then too.Beachside Bill8/2/2006
58868RE:"Basically you say the same thing as in my prediction of most eventuallyJim McMannis8/2/2006
58867At first, the developers and contractors will simply have to shrink their redicuJim McMannis8/2/2006
58866“Condominium sales tumbled 79 percent in Brevard County last month compared withTravis_Bickle8/2/2006
58865Looks like they are putting on the Fed-is-done trade...damainman8/2/2006
58864<i>DISCLOSURE: SHORT shares of LEND</i> It's notable that LEND orkrious8/2/2006
58863Basically you say the same thing as in my prediction of most eventually going uJohn Vosilla8/2/2006
58862>>>Get a clue. Until and unless, costs come down, prices will stay up.&ChanceIs8/2/2006
58861July 2005. That confirms it. Mish is right.Jim McMannis8/2/2006
58860I think they go down and stay down. Some go BK, others like JOE survive because Jim McMannis8/2/2006
58859Two out of three homes snapped up by investors cepr.netLes H8/2/2006
58858'Sometimes the economists and analyst don't understand a cultural changeJohn Vosilla8/2/2006
58857Yeah my dad thinks he'll get back the $75k in cash he had in his account wheTravis_Bickle8/2/2006
58856RE:"I have yet to see a single analyst remark on skyrocketing building mateJim McMannis8/2/2006
58855Not a stretch. Perhaps Horton gets down near single digits by the coming OctoberJohn Vosilla8/2/2006
58854RE: "As for home prices, you have to be nuts to think they are still risingDon Earl8/2/2006
58853RE:"What's going to happen to the southern Florida housing market if CaJim McMannis8/2/2006
58852A lot of Cubans still think they can go back and get their land. Like East GermaJim McMannis8/2/2006
58851"The trend really started after 1997, when Congress changed the tax code, aJim McMannis8/2/2006
58850RE:"I predict Horton and Pulte will be much higher sometime in 2007 than thJim McMannis8/2/2006
58849=DJ Mtge Applications, Cash Flow Bad News For Homebuilders 08/02/2006 Dow JonPaul Kern8/2/2006
58848>>>St. Joe downgraded to "market underperform"<<< SChanceIs8/2/2006
58847I appreciate your source on second homes. It appears that they are saying thoseBeachside Bill8/2/2006
58846St. Joe downgraded to "market underperform" Wednesday, August 02, 200Travis_Bickle8/2/2006
58845Condo sales, backlogs eroding developer investments realblogging.comLes H8/2/2006
58844A reckoning with risk usnews.com Rules for a slowdown usnews.comLes H8/2/2006
58843<i>arent refi's going to go ape shiat when all the arms reset?</i&gPaul Kern8/2/2006
58842You mean people returning to Cuba? Nobody is going to do that, it's a miserTravis_Bickle8/2/2006
58841arent refi's going to go ape shiat when all the arms reset?TheStockFairy8/2/2006
58840What's going to happen to the southern Florida housing market if Castro diesThink4Yourself8/2/2006
58839*DJ US MBA Market Index Falls 1.2% To 527.6 From 533.8 *DJ US MBA Purchase IndPaul Kern8/2/2006
58838Re: <i>I might dicuss it.</i> I had lunch over the weekend with a cDan38/2/2006
58837OT: Brunt of the heat wave hitting New England today. Blackouts and transformerThink4Yourself8/2/2006
58836I like LEN cause of the quality problems in Florida that Mike Morgan is exposingTravis_Bickle8/2/2006
58835Why would you care about the advertised price of the home? That's only releThink4Yourself8/2/2006
58834Don't feed the trollssaveslivesbyday8/2/2006
58833The facts speak for themselves housebubble.com (refreshes several times daily)saveslivesbyday8/2/2006
58832Second homes 40% of market usatoday.com Second homes 40% of market Updated 4/5saveslivesbyday8/2/2006
58831Distress sale of Dubai homes up By Arif Sharif, Staff Reporter Dubai: DistreProud Deplorable8/2/2006
58830'But I'll bet the small time home builders and speculators may not fare John Vosilla8/2/2006
58829'Be patient. It's a slow motion train wreck' It seems like my TIVO John Vosilla8/2/2006
58828'Market fluctuation and I stand behind my post the homeboys will be higher nJohn Vosilla8/2/2006
58827John it is hard to say. All we know at this point is that loan loss provisions mishedlo8/2/2006
58826look for it. It is not worth my time to argue with someone like yourself. But mymishedlo8/2/2006
58825I have Joe and WCI put for Jan 07 and 08. Question for the board. If I want to fXoFruitCake8/2/2006
58824MBA: Market Index Falls to May 2002 Levels mbaa.org Excerpt: The Market ComposCalculatedRisk8/2/2006
58823Hi Mish .... Would you know ...... When are some of these personal home bankruJohn McCarthy8/1/2006
58822Ho...Ho ...Ho...These Homes have Got to Go ------------------------------------Proud Deplorable8/1/2006
58821<40% of all home sold in 2005 AND 2005 were fore investmenst or second homes&Beachside Bill8/1/2006
58820See... you talk net and I said prices... The prices are higher and you really haBeachside Bill8/1/2006
58819<i>Speculation in homes died two years ago...the economy didn't...checmishedlo8/1/2006
58818<i>Yeah well admit home prices are higher than last year then I might dicumishedlo8/1/2006
58817It's still a decade or two too early but with usury laws and regulation of mBeachside Bill8/1/2006
58816ARMs were supposed to be a way to realize the American dream of home ownership. tsigprofit8/1/2006
58815Obviously s signal that they would struggle to increase by 2% in ANY scenario. mishedlo8/1/2006
58814That's why I stick to technicals. New software from Reuters changed some foBeachside Bill8/1/2006
58813Book value is also a trailing indicator. When sales are falling and inventory iThink4Yourself8/1/2006
58812BTW...backlogs mean nothing...sales always fall before the backlogs do and startBeachside Bill8/1/2006
58811Fine... so lets price them at book or lower...just saying not next year.Beachside Bill8/1/2006
58810Homies are living off of their backlogs right now. Once that is gone they are tThink4Yourself8/1/2006
58809A lot of things get priced in a year before the happen...good luck.Beachside Bill8/1/2006
58808Speculation in housing peaked late last summer - not two years ago. The impact CalculatedRisk8/1/2006
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