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Strategies & Market Trends
Working All Day, But Trading Behind the Bosses Back Thread
An SI Board Since January 1999
Posts SubjectMarks Bans
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Emcee:  Mark[ox5] Type:  Unmoderated
Welcome! This thread hopefully will fill a niche for those of us who have full time jobs that keep us busy, but still like to participate in some "safer" (relative term) momementum and position plays. You know who you are... you get the adrenaline rush at about 9:25 AM and look over your shoulder while you punch in the touchtone system (or internet site) of your discount broker! The day doesn't "really" start until 9:30, and man those Federal Holidays, just a day less to make money. *grin*

This fills a different niche than the most threads.... while some trading may be buying at 9:40 AM and selling at 2 PM, it's more of a longer term position trading. (i.e. a few days to a few weeks)
Rules are simple:
A) Stocks with a short term catalyst (i.e. splits, earnings)
B) Volatile tech stocks which are bouncing off moving averages but "usually" are in major long term upswings.

This system has worked very well for me the past few years. Back in the old days it used to be "internet stocks", but nowadays its mostly picks and shovels, wireless, B2B, et al. I don't do biotech. The analysis for me is 90% fundamental and only the most basic, rudimentary TA for entry points. As for exit points? Don't ask me.. in this crazy market I am always early on the exit. I am still in the old mind set that if it goes up 100% in 2 weeks its time to sell... (yes that was sarcastic) Almost everything I like is
"overvalued" by any measure I can think of as of early Spring 2000, but what can you do? Just sit on the sidelines? No.

I like rapid revenue growth and a business model and barries to entry.
Example: I dont like Amazon.com.. yes it has revenue growth and barries to entry, but a lousy business model to me.
These above methods had me in the "darlings" of todays stock market such as PMCS, JDSU, AMCC long before everyone "had to own" them. Yes, I lived through the b***ching on the PMCS board when it didnt move for 2 months inearly fall 99. (i.e. why does this stock suck when BRCM goes up 15% everyday) So please dont bring those sort of comments here. You can only pick the companies, you cannot control the stock prices. I was in ANAD for 3 months and gave up on it while it roasted in the split adjusted upper 20s, lower 30s. Then I sell and it goes up about 150% in 1.5 months (sound familiar? We
all have the story)

I have a basket of perhaps 80-120 stocks in my favorite long term sectors.Stocks I like for the long term, and happy to trade them short term. Make 7-10% on 2-3 day
trades, or 20-30% on a few week trade, with the occasional home runs. I keep some core positions but trade around them. 90% of trades are in stocks I'm not afraid to get "stuck" in. This means (to me) if I look away and the market tanks 15% in 4 days, I don't mind owning the stock for the longer term.

I try to play the stocks which have market caps between 1 B and 40 B.. and prefer those under 10B if possible. Obviously its easier to double a 3Billion company than a 40 Billion company (but hey its possible, see ORCL,NT, QCOM etc)

No pennies, no scam stocks, no "hot tips" just real stocks which are volatileand have an longer term upward trend.

When this thread was initially started I (1) posted option plays and
2)posted daily.. I have to cut back on both those issues. Options? Well they are risky and its your discretion.. I have both lost and made a lot of money playing them. You have to bet on both direction and time and be right, and even then sometimes you lose. Risky.

As for the schedule, well obviously as the title indicates I work full time, and then I come home and do research. I rarely post here, or on Yahoo, or anywhere nowadays where as before I used to be an avid poster. I am going to start with trying for a Sunday, Tues, Thur nite schedule of what looks potentially interesting for the next few days as entry points.

This is more of my corner of SI to keep thoughts and learn through any mistakes. Read at your own risk ;) (sorry for the length)
Mark
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779 So these Oscar characters are predicting TERN revenue of: 1999: 97 (actual) 20Mark[ox5]-3/29/2000
778 From Briefing - Efficient Networks (EFNT 158 -13 9/16): announces the acquisitiMark[ox5]-3/29/2000
777 From Briefing - Terayon Comm (TERN 236 7/8 +20 1/4): Oscar Gruss upgrades to STMark[ox5]-3/29/2000
776 Gotta love this market: the VoIP area... Clarent[CLRN] which is the leader in tMark[ox5]-3/28/2000
775 Orckit Communications Reiterated 'Buy' at Kaufman Bros. 3/28/00 6:42:Mark[ox5]-3/28/2000
774 Orckit Communications Raised to 'Strong Buy' at Oscar Gruss 3/28/00 8Mark[ox5]-3/28/2000
773 Dont know if mentioned but bought ORCT at high of day yesterday at $72... looksMark[ox5]-3/28/2000
772 Buying HLIT here at 98, but holding some money back in case it falls to mid 70sMark[ox5]-3/28/2000
771 Watching HLIT closely here. Closes its buy of Divicom in late April (shareholdMark[ox5]-3/27/2000
770 RVSN - I am trying to monitor all the new IPOs to some degree..there are just tMark[ox5]-3/27/2000
769 <<I saw it hit 26 1/4, right above your level... typical huh :) >>&lazarre-3/27/2000
768 Curious if you know anything about Radvision (RVSN) recent IPO It looked good tMark[ox5]-3/27/2000
767 I havent followed POWI too closely for a month or so, but have been in it many Mark[ox5]-3/27/2000
766 well, Mark, based purely on technical reasons I put in a limit on POWI for 26. lazarre-3/27/2000
765 More on Terayon Comm. (TERN) Last 4 Q's revenue: 38.6 Mil (65% sequential Mark[ox5]-3/26/2000
764 More on Efficient Networks (EFNT) Last 4 Q's revenue: 26.4 Mil (116% sequeMark[ox5]-3/26/2000
763 DSL and you: Part 2 From my cursorary studies prodded by Laz's DSL suggestMark[ox5]-3/25/2000
762 DSL and you: (PART 1) To discuss with why "yes" to DSL, you have to Mark[ox5]-3/25/2000
761 Laz, re: ISPD, I will be keeping an eye on its next earnings announcement - rigMark[ox5]-3/25/2000
760 Oh no, wholly owned subsidiary of Brooktrout? Is this just a tracking stock. Mark[ox5]-3/25/2000
759 Muskateer, what is lockup day for ISPD? My god, look at that sequential revenueMark[ox5]-3/25/2000
758 Laz, whats up :) Oh please Im not rich, I am just investing rich people's Mark[ox5]-3/25/2000
757 Muskateer, Long time no type.....trust you're doing just fine! I'm lolazarre-3/25/2000
756 Buying VNTR (formerly CMDX) B2B play with revenue streams similar to Commerce OMark[ox5]-3/23/2000
755 Entered TERN this morning in mid $170sMark[ox5]-3/20/2000
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