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Background The Canadian oil sands are an often misunderstood and thus unappreciated part of the global collection of hydrocarbon resources. (The 'Rodney Dangerfield' of the oil patch, you might say). As traditional sources deplete, though, and as new supplies become more difficult to secure, the oil sands has an increasing role to play in satisfying global demand for oil. The oil sands are in a stable country, with close proximity to the US, and increasingly with hydrocarbons, as with real estate, it's about location, location, location! The Opportunity The resource is estimated as high as 2 trillion barrels of bitumen in place, and recoverable oil is competitive with Saudi reserves, with little or no exploration costs and no decline. The oil sands, also called 'tar sands' are largely unexploited. Investment in the oil sands and related infrastructure through 2012 will exceed $60bn and are the equivalent of several mid-sized suspension bridges or several large airports being built together at the same time. The investment is needed to extract the oil, which is mixed with sand. There are several operation types: surface mining, and extraction, which gets into a variety of SAGD technologies and more innovative technologies now coming online. Economists say that all wealth creation is derived from investments that increase productivity. I think the oil sands increases productivity as it monetizes a resource that would be uneconomic otherwise. The appreciating price of oil has helped spur this development, as has the concept of 'Peak Oil'. The objective of this discussion Lets uncover the gems of the oil sands, the producers, the service companies, the mining companies and the pipelines. There will be trading opportunities and long-term investment opportunities as the oil sands production increases. The oil sands aren't without risk. Here are a few: 1. The oil sands have been difficult and expensive to extract oil from. 2. Labor is tight in the area. 3. Canada signed the Kyoto agreement so emissions will become an issue as production increases. 4. Amid high oil, and the stronger Loonie, manufacturing in Eastern Canada has suffered, and a power shift (to the West) has taken place with the election of the Harper gov't. Ottawa, the national gov't, may try to grab some of this wealth from the Province of Alberta. 5. High natural gas costs Lets profit from this huge development. Guidelines Try to be nice to each other folks-and I'm guilty of messing up as well. Let me know. This discussion is moderated because some posters have been disrespectful of others when I have asked them to take their OT discussion offline, so the thread gets clogged with OT posts. I am not a professional fund manager, I am not paid to promote these companies and I do not have an engineering background. Expect mistakes and do your own Due Diligence. Organization In addition to the links posted here for research, I set up a Yahoo Group for the sole purpose of posting research files and other files that SI doesn't allow. Visit the group and I'll sign you up: groups.yahoo.com For more information visit these links: The main website, with lease maps and other info www.oilsands.cc Recent post on EV/reserves ranking: Message 21974059 Other sites: Raymond James Oil Sands Research: raymondjames.ca oilsandsdiscovery.com energy.gov.ab.ca Oil Sands Technology Road Map (Dec 03) acr-alberta.com Read this extensive document put together by Canada's National Energy Board Canada's Oil Sands: Opportunities and Challenges to 2015 NEB report has been updated: neb-one.gc.ca Oil Sands blog: theoildrum.com Energy Crisis (great analysis, graphs) wtrg.com and some of the project sites: www.longlake.ca www.albianoilsands.com syncrude.com Private companies: heartlandupgrader.com synenco.com northwestupgrading.com Some of the players include: Pure-plays in Production COS.UN (COSWF.PK) OST.UN (OSDSF.PK) WTO.TO (WTOIF.PK) SU.TO (SU) Plays with a technical angle, in construction: OPC.TO (OPCDF.PK) Note: ORA (NYSE) owns shares, NXY is the JV partner PBG.TO (PBEGF.PK) Juniors getting started UTS.TO (UEYCF.PK) CLL.TO (CLLZF.PK) BQI (formerly CWPC.OB) SYN.TO (SYEYF.PK) NPE.V FTR.V AOS.V Majors with oil sands exposure CNQ.TO (CNQ) COP CVX PCA.TO (PCZ) IMO.TO (IMO) NXY.TO (NXY) SHC.TO (SC) ECA.TO (ECA) HSE.TO (HUSKF.PK) DVN TLM.TO (TLM) TOT Other companies with oil sands exposure POU.TO (PRMRF.PK) ERF.UN (ERF) BCF.V NEM HAO.V GPOR POE.V SOIGF.OB SRGG.OB (Heavy oil) DWOG.PK (Heavy oil) POGI.OB PTCH.OB WR.V PBT.V MSEV.OB PWT.UN BTE.UN (Heavy oil) CWQ.V (possible, depending on deal with Metis) STP.V SOPO PRVB.OB GNNO ELE.V NOG.V US Oil Sands WNWG.OB NTAH.PK KDKN.OB OSGL.PK MGWSF.BB Pipelines PIF.UN (PMBIF.PK) IPL.UN (IPPLF.PK) TPL.UN (XXTSP.PK) TRP.TO (TRP) ENB.TO (ENB) TER.TO (TERFF.PK) Service companies NYSE:NOA (oil sands contractor) MTL.TO (MNTZF.PK) POS.TO EIS.UN (EISFF.PK) IST.TO SCL-SVA.TO (SAWLF.PK) CFT.TO, CFK PHX.UN (PHXHF.PK) PES.UN (PKGFF.PK) WJX.UN CET.UN KEY.UN (CO2 partnership with Ferus Gas) PD.TO (PDS) Mining plays BMD.V (BMD) TIC.V (TITUF.PK) ALTI Construction/Infrastructure JEC ARE.TO IPS.TO (IPS) TS GHM CUQ.TO Equipment JOYG BUCY CAT FTT.TO TEX Heavy Oil Upgrading WSCE.OB (Also owns 170,000 shares Synenco) GNO.V (GNOLF) RVTI IE.TO (IVAN) Advanced Recovery WEE.V Environmental BDZ.V Investment vehicles with oil sands focus: CLO.TO (oil sands ETF) RTU.UN (large oil sands holdings) Private Companies Grizzly Oil Sands OSUM (Oil sands underground mining) Venture Capital arcfinancial.com Associations capp.ca This report has future oil sands production predictions: capp.ca Monthly Crude Prices (Heavy, Light,) petro-canada.ca (More will be added as we surface them) OK, lets make some money. Rules of engagement to promote an orderly board: 1. be nice, that means no name calling 2. no politics, if someone posts an oil sands news article that has politics in it, reply to it on another board or you will be banned 3. the topic of government will be tolerated, but use discretion in not letting that digress into politics Notice: I hope the information on investments including stocks are informative and educational, but their accuracy cannot be verified. Please note that I, and the participants on this thread, are not professional financial advisors. All contributions are for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your professional financial advisor before undertaking any investment. | ||||||||||||
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