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Strategies & Market Trends
Bear Market Momentum Investing
An SI Board Since March 2008
Posts SubjectMarks Bans
248 38 0
Emcee:  Perspective Type:  Unmoderated
Introduction Compact
Bear market investing can benefit from strategies similar to bull market momentum investing. In a bull, stocks on the 52-week highs list tend to stay on the list, and in a bear, stocks on the 52-week lows list also tend to stay there.

I plan to spend more effort scanning the 52-week lows list, and will post some of my findings here. If others can join in the effort, I would appreciate the help. I'll share my findings in proportion to the help I receive from others.

In particular, I would like posts to at least reference
1. fundamental business situation
2. market sector
3. balance sheet check - market cap and *tangible* shareholder equity
4. long-term share price history

There are lots of names on the list every day, but I find a lot of them are already trading below tangible shareholder equity and share price floors established in the last bear market. Those need to be hacked out. Others are in weak sectors, in established downtrends, and still have plenty of room to fall before hitting any obvious valuation floors. That's what we want.

EDIT: Naturally, I'm SHORT most everything I mention on this thread.

BC
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248<That statement coming from Merkel was eye-opening.> I've been at a bPerspective-5/6/2010
247Looking at the price action of my only holding on the HK exchange, trouble seemsjmiller099-5/6/2010
246I think it's barrel fishing time for shorts. Looking for the fattest. PeopleSmiling Bob-5/5/2010
245I hope you're right, but I'm not so sure. For it to really get in gear, Perspective-5/5/2010
244Thx Time to resuscitate this thread. Though I'm panning for the most overpriSmiling Bob-5/5/2010
243Good timing my friend. May the farce be with you. <G> BCPerspective-5/4/2010
242nice call Bob :-)~digs-5/4/2010
241Wow. Got one Down a couple bucks plus PM ---- UPDATE 1-Steve Madden Q1 profit laSmiling Bob-5/4/2010
240>>May the gods be wit me<< May the Lloyd have mercy on yer soul!patron_anejo_por_favor15/3/2010
239Fads always die. Steve Madden's come and go. The chart looks verklempt and tSmiling Bob-5/3/2010
238my old friend (nemesis) URBN hit an all time high recently. But I can't sPeter V-5/3/2010
237I just went heavy on puts... again COF, SHOO, LULU and a bunch of others May thSmiling Bob-5/3/2010
236Shorted it at $5, then the shares I was to borrow magically disappeared before sPerspective-5/3/2010
235Bingo finance.yahoo.comSmiling Bob-5/3/2010
23415 Companies That Might Not Survive 2009 * Rick Newman * Friday FebruarSmiling Bob-2/9/2009
233I have it with amerco. In 2003 it traded at literally zero after filing Ch.11 buRockyBalboa-1/23/2009
232Nice find. -1.2B tangible book and a PE of 12? I see they issued massive debt Clever Nick Name-1/18/2009
231finance.yahoo.com Much cleaner balance sheet and much larger company I traded thSmiling Bob-1/17/2009
230SBH - I wonder if these guys will keep making the monthly nut for their mortgagePerspective-1/16/2009
229Wonder if it's time to revisit AMP... `BCPerspective-1/16/2009
228It's the tombstone formation.Jim McMannis-1/16/2009
227UHAL - How 'bout UHAL? Looks like it -could- -go- -all- -the- -way- [graphPerspective-1/16/2009
226How 'bout ABG as a zero? I view things like the late 2008 collapse, followePerspective-1/16/2009
225I just suspect that its fundamental value hasn't increased all that much desPerspective-1/16/2009
224RHIE - what do you think of this as a zero? biz.yahoo.com 10:1 debt-equity, loPerspective-1/16/2009
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