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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (41122)6/28/1999 7:50:00 PM
From: Benkea  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
heinz:

"Bill, the phrase 'summer rally' is uttered over and over again on
CNBC - will it become a self-fulfilling prophecy?"

The market usually does that which surprises the most number of people, so...
:)



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (41122)6/28/1999 7:53:00 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Heinz, I noticed more and more capitulation from both sides. Many are outright frustrated. The VIX is relatively low and today's put/call ratio on equities is also low (.43)

I do not care about "the advertised sentiment" the proof is in the puding speculators buy much more calls than puts.

Anyone is expecting a rally AFTER the FMOC meeting but IMHO we will have a sell-off. Friday is a key day.

Aside of that personal savings are at -1.2% which indicates to me that the stock market is the "saving of choice" in the gamblers country of the USA.

I intend to close puts I wrote sometime tomorrow to be left only with calls I wrote - e.g. fully short.

I hope for a 50 to 100 point rally <GG>

BWDIK
Haim



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (41122)6/28/1999 8:43:00 PM
From: William H Huebl  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
hb,

marketgauge.com

Notice the intermediate and long term...

You seem to be looking only at the short term???

Bill



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (41122)6/28/1999 9:27:00 PM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
those mktgauge charts are everal weeks old, I might add. Aditionally... specialist short interest has ben somewhat of a contraian indicator over the last couple yrs as derivatives have much more to do with price movement that the underlying securities, IMO