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To: Think4Yourself who wrote (47468)7/7/1999 1:37:00 PM
From: pz  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 95453
 
Wednesday July 7, 9:56 am Eastern Time
Note: this article has a followup with more
information.

FOCUS-Oil keeps gains as OPEC holds line on cuts

LONDON, July 7 (Reuters) - Oil prices were marginally lower on Wednesday, recoiling
after sharp recent gains spurred by evidence of tight OPEC adherence to supply curbs.

World marker Brent blend crude was down 11 cents in London at $17.99 a barrel.

Oil prices have jumped nearly $2 in the past two weeks, the latest leg in a rally which
has carried Brent up from sub-$10 lows in February.

Dealers said some mild profit-taking on Wednesday had done little to dispel the bullish
mood on oil markets where OPEC's determined effort to erase surplus petroleum
stockpiles remains centre-stage.

They said weekly U.S. petroleum stockpile and demand data, out later on Wednesday,
would provide fresh clues on this year's unexpectedly strong U.S. oil consumption
patterns.

Algeria's OPEC President Youssef Yousfi on Wednesday underlined the cartel's policy
not to waiver on tighter supply limits in force since April.

In an interview in Algiers he ruled out any increase in OPEC oil output quotas before
March 2000 saying there was a consensus in the cartel to stick by export limits despite
rising prices.

''Yes, we are going to keep our agreement until March 2000,'' he told Reuters. ''I can
speak on behalf of contacts through OPEC colleagues. This is the consensus inside
OPEC,'' he said.


Yousfi said he did not expect the market to return to balance completely until the year's
end and dismissed concerns that the market might be overheating.

''The level of stocks is still very high. Producers still have to be very careful. I think the
equilibrium will be reached by the end of this year or the beginning of next.''

By contrast, some analysts have said they expect surplus stockpiles to be erased by
the end of September, leaving the market exposed to higher prices during the peak
northern hemisphere winter demand season.

''By avoiding a significant second quarter build this year OPEC has done a great deal
to meet its objective of eliminating excess inventories on world markets,'' said
Washington consultancy Petroleum Finance.

''If the third quarter draw is as large as expected, the inventory surplus will be
eliminated before demand peaks in the fourth quarter.''

OPEC compliance with the supply curbs in the last two months has reached 85-90
percent of targeted levels, according to Reuters' surveys.

OPEC ministers have set a target price range of $18-$20 a barrel for Brent blend and
delegates say the group is prepared to intervene in the market if prices move outside
that range for any significant period of time.

(Note: this article is ''in progress''; there will likely be an update soon.)




To: Think4Yourself who wrote (47468)7/7/1999 2:34:00 PM
From: Douglas V. Fant  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Ken, What you just described... is going on right now, and will intensify, especially as nuclear power plants are decommisioned and natural gas fired plants take their place....