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To: excardog who wrote (80721)12/4/2000 5:32:16 PM
From: excardog  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Government gas comment for past week:

eply-to: wmaster@eia.doe.gov
To: wngm@tonto.eia.doe.gov (Weekly Natural Gas Market Update)

xxxxxx xxxxxx xx xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
xx xx x x xxx U.S. Department of Energy xx
xxxx xx xxxxxx x Energy Information Administration x
xx xx xx xx xx To unsubscribe see the message xxx
xxxxxx xxxxxx xx xx xxxxxxxxxxxxx footnote xxxxxxxxxxxxxx
EIA, the Nation's clearinghouse for energy statistics. xxxxxxxxxx
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

(NOTE: To best view this document, your email software should
be set to view the item in an 80 character format, using a
"non-proportional" font, e.g. courier)

To view the Weekly Market Update with graphs, go to eia.doe.gov.

A reported stock draw of 146 Bcf and the return of seasonal
temperatures in many areas of the country at mid week abruptly
ended a downward correction in futures prices. The December
futures contract lost $0.352 per MMBtu in its final day of trade.
By Friday, the January contract, which took over Wednesday,
turned in a record near-month high at $6.673 per MMBtu. At
the Henry Hub, cash prices ended the week at $6.60 per
MMBtu, as weather forecasts called for temperatures to drop
sharply in the Northeast beginning last Wednesday. Data for
the four cities monitored for this report appear to have
confirmed this forecasted shift (see Temperature graph and
table). Starting December 9, the National Weather Service
(NWS) 6-to-10-day forecast predicts below-normal
temperatures in the major gas-consuming areas of the Midwest
and normal temperatures elsewhere. Spot prices in the West
moderated early in the week but returned to previous levels as
low inventories prompted Pacific Gas and Electric to issue an
operational flow order on Wednesday to limit customer pulls.
The White House, IEA, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait's willingness
to compensate for the 2-million plus barrels-per-day Iraq
withdrew from the world market Thursday kept crude oil prices
from spiking. The price of West Texas Intermediate closed at
$32.05 per barrel ($5.53 per MMBtu) last Friday comparedwith
the pre-Thanksgiving close of $36.15 ($6.23 per MMBtu).

Storage: A net 146 Bcf was taken out of storage in the week
ending November 24, 2000, the largest amount ever reported for
the last full week of November according to the American Gas
Association's (AGA) stock survey. This decrement left natural
gas stocks in the lower 48 states at 2,512 Bcf as estimated by
EIA, or 12.0 percent less than the 5-year (1995-1999) average.
In this particular week of the refill season, net storage
withdrawals have averaged about 54 Bcf over the previous 5
years (1995-99), according to AGA's storage estimates. The
Producing Region's withdrawals of 42 Bcf were proportionately
the largest drawdown with respect to each region's beginning
stock levels as of the previous Friday (November 17), leaving
stocks in that region at 18.6 percent below the 5-year average.
A considerable 91 Bcf draw in the East Region pulled stocks
slightly (5.3 percent) below the 5-year average, while the gap
below the 5-year average in the West widened to 30.6 percent
after a 13 Bcf draw. It is possible that stocks in the West
Region ended November at the lowest level recorded in the last
5 years by EIA.

Spot Prices: Spot prices slipped modestly during the first day
of trade after the Thanksgiving break, closing at $6.25 per
MMBtu at the Henry Hub and at $6.30 and $6.72 at the Chicago
and New York citygates. After taking a cue from futures prices
and reacting to comparatively cooler temperatures, spot prices
established seasonal highs at many market locations. Henry
Hub ended the week at $6.60, Chicago at $6.70, and New York
at $7.52. Representative spot prices for Canadian and out-of-
state supplies for California were $14.47 and $5.88 early in the
week and $16.28 and $6.40 by the end of the week. California
citygate prices went about $2.50 to $3.00 higher, reflecting the
effect of tight inventories. The Alliance Pipeline in Canada,
which will eventually improve the U.S. supply picture by 1.3
Bcf per day through enhanced deliveries from the Midwest to
New England, opened last Friday with no discernible impact on
prices.

Futures Prices: The December futures contract closed lower
Tuesday with a flurry of selling activity in the closing hours of
the contract. The January contract, opening as the near-month
contract on Wednesday, settled at $6.181 per MMBtu, 2.6 cents
lower than the previous day. Forecasts for cooler weather, the
announcement of the substantial pull on stocks, and continued
strong electric generation demand quickly caused markets to set
two successive near-month highs. By the end of the trading day
Friday, the January contract stood at $6.673 per MMBtu. On
the same day, the February and March contracts were at $6.533
and $6.043, respectively, at least 28.9 and 44.3 cents per
MMBtu higher than before Thanksgiving.

Summary: The close out of the December contract and a small
break in cold temperatures gave prices a brief respite until the
return of seasonal weather and the report of last week's sizeable
stockdraw. California prices are expected to continue high and
volatile, partially attributable to a low stock situation in the
region.



To: excardog who wrote (80721)12/4/2000 5:37:39 PM
From: JungleInvestor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
OT: Hopefully the U.S. Supreme Court's decision will put the fear of God in the Florida Supreme Court and make them less likely to go beyond their authority when they hear Gore's appeal of judge Saul's verdict. Kodiak, with the two decisions today, how do you judge Gore's chances of winning any appeals?

Judge Refuses to Order Recounts
Monday, December 4, 2000


A Florida judge refused Monday to order a manual recount of thousands of South Florida ballots and their inclusion in the certified results of the state's presidential election.

There was "no credible statistical evidence" that results from a recount would alter the outcome of the elections, Leon County Circuit Court Judge N. Sanders Sauls ruled from a courtroom in Tallahassee, Fla.

Sauls also found "no proof of illegality, dishonesty, gross negligence, improper influence or fraud" in the ballot counting process, and he said that Florida law did not allow counties to submit results after the statewide deadline.

And while Al Gore's lawyers demonstrated "voter error" in the elections process, Sauls ruled, that was not enough to justify a manual recount.

Gore asked for a ruling overturning George W. Bush's certified victory in Florida, and to order a manual recount of an estimated 14,000 ballots in Palm Beach and Miami-Dade counties. The vice president's legal team also sought to change the official vote certification in Nassau County, although only 51 votes were involved there.

The Bush team argued there was no reason for the recount, and said the Texas governor had been certified properly, on the basis of tallies submitted by the canvassing boards in all 67 Florida counties.

Gore attorney David Boies immediately announced he would appeal to the state Supreme Court, but the decision helps cement Bush's 537-vote lead over Gore, who has been fighting a bitter legal and public relations battle to get the ballots counted and certified in the hope that they could help him capture the Sunshine State's 25 electoral votes, and the presidency.

Sauls' ruling was the second blow of the day for Gore. Just before noon, the U.S. Supreme Court set aside the Florida Supreme Court's Nov. 21 decision, which allowed an extension of the statutory deadline for vote tallies to be included in the state's certified results.