To: tekmon who wrote (5541 ) 12/9/2000 11:41:03 PM From: CYBERKEN Respond to of 6710 <<We will have the sanest government of all time, over the next four years we will see a lot of wasted spending stop, a reduction of the federal government, a weaning off of welfare and possibly even a workable solution to Social Security.>> Good point. The obstructionist tactics being planned by Daschle must be limited to mostly high-visibility matters, and the strategy for their use is very tricky. Daschle is a shrewd politician who will get everything he can out of it, but in the process it will only obstruct about 10 to 15% of the Senate's business. Social Security privatization is but a tidal wave in the distance. There will be overwhelming support that pushes it through: 8 to 10 years from now. And it won't matter at the time which party controls which office. True tax reform will also be passed overwhelmingly, but only at the bottom of a long depression. Barring that, it's the incremental stuff. I look for an increased break on LTCG, increased estate tax exclusion to maybe $5M to $10M, and possibly with indexing. Marriage penalty relief + expanded IRS's. But no marginal rate reductions until and unless there's a visible recession (as opposed to the depression mentioned above, and again, it won't matter about the party). Believe it or not, I think tort reform will have an easy time. Even more so now-after the public has digested the abortive "Boies coup". General regulatory reform will be incremental but will proceed. There's a buck in it for people in both parties. Campaign finance reform is a bad idea, but might pass if the Dems finally cave in on Union machine money. Won't matter, though, the USSC will drop kick any law that could pass. Supreme Court Justices: Forget "constructionism". Democrat voters are too dumb to comprehend that. What the Dems really need is justices who've never criticized Roe v Wade. That covers them with the feminist groups. Aside from that, they'll go along, because they won't take the risk of disassembling the Court. Why not? Because they'll have their own president again someday, and the Court is a very long-term issue. Finally regarding Roe v Wade: Regardless of one's opinion on abortion, it's hard to escape the simple reality that it was VERY bad law. Justices tend to "grow in office" (:->), so I think Roe v Wade is doomed in the long run no matter what any Senate does. Spending and other recurring Senate matters? Not as hard as it seems. Probably business-as-usual but more conservative leaning. In these areas it's not Daschle calling any shots, it's John Breaux and the new president. Whenever they find common ground, that will be that...