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To: GVTucker who wrote (123347)	12/19/2000 5:47:33 PM
From: Road Walker	Respond to of 186894

GV, re: "OPEC has little control right now over oil prices. The member countries have most probably been producing at full capacity for some time now." They may have little control over lowering prices, they have significant control over raising them. John

To: GVTucker who wrote (123347)	12/19/2000 6:08:55 PM
From: Mary Cluney	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 186894

GVTucker, <<<. Is it worth over a trillion dollars dollars in market cap and a real possibility of a recession ? The answer is obviously ---no . Well, no, it is not obvious, otherwise we wouldn't be having this debate. >>> Is there a relationship between market cap and recession? Shouldn't the Fed just keep their hands off of market cap? Let the market determine market cap. Isn't the Feds role to balance money supply wrt inflation and deflation? Mary FD CV: 1 semester Home Ec PS: I'm not trying to be funny - when it comes to Mini, micro, macro, and home economics, I am really at a loss. I don't know if I'm justified in that I don't feel too kindly toward AG at the moment. FWIW: I am more knowledgeable wrt Duke (mens) and Tennessee (womens) basketball.

To: GVTucker who wrote (123347)	12/19/2000 8:27:48 PM
From: William Hunt	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 186894

GVTucker The answer to the first comment is that a .8% increase in year over year inflation is not worth the trillion dollar loss in the capital market . You either counter inflation threw increases in productivity or higher interest rates . If you destroy the capital markets you will destroy the ability of companies to improve productivity . The response on OPEC is that if Oil prices fall OPEC will cut the supply to the market thus keeping oil prices high until we as a country get smart enough to develop hydrogen or a renewable source that we can control to keep energy prices under control . As of right now has Greenspan has no control over energy prices other than to put us into a recession . As stated above Greenspan has an effect on capital in the marketplace by controlling liquidity . As per CNBC the liquidity in the marketplace has dropped to the level in 1998 when we had our last world slowdown . If he does not prime the pump and lower rates productivity will continue to fall ---I believed we were at 3.4%for November which is below the inflation rate . I am not looking at the CPI for an indication for the FED to lower rates but productivity since it has an bigger impact in countering inflation and keeping the dollar strong . If Greenspan keeps the tight liquidity in place productivity will keep dropping and Greenspan will dig himself a hole he will not come out of easily BEST WISHES BILL