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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Moderated Thread - please read rules before posting -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: The Verve who wrote (5993)1/7/2001 4:01:38 AM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 196740
 
Verve, The reason to have 3G is the same reason we like to have a brain. To live and enjoy life and be a human we need to communicate and process big heaps of information in short periods of time.

I am really baffled that people are baffled about why on earth anyone would want 3G. I think we will blow right through 3G, 4G and up to 10G and be frustrated at how slow and lacking functionality each step will be. Cars started at walking speed and in a few decades they were 100mph race-track scorchers. We'll get the same effect for the internet. Walking speed just won't do it for us.

At the moment, we are deaf, dumb and blind when out of range of wired phones, other than a bit of talking. Deaf, dumb and blind is NOT the ideal state which people seek.

We will unplug our eyes and stretch them to every corner of the world and beyond. We will hear a whisper anywhere on the planet. We will send voice, pictures and data from wherever we are to wherever we want.

Time is of the essence. We don't want to wait around for 14 kbps to make like a steam-engine. We want rocket-power, turbo-boost and acceleration from 0 to 100 in less than 3 seconds. We do NOT want to spend the day stopped at red-lights. We want 100mph freeways through cyberspace, with NO red lights. They'd better be 10 lanes wide too, because there will be a LOT of us speeding along. We need bandwidth and speed.

To achieve that economically, service providers need to get a LOT out of their spectrum and hardware. The only way to do that is to make CDMA 3G happen and do it quickly.

Doing without 3G is like doing without a brain. It won't be very popular.

WAP, GPRS, and other attempts at data and mobile internet have been pathetic; slow and expensive and difficult to use and a waste of time [if they work at all]. The Bleeding EDGE will continue the failure. But those failures serve one very vital purpose for Nokia and the GSM Guild [GG]; they delay the onset of 3G and the tsunami of revenue away from Nokia and other GSM mainstays towards the 60 or so subscriber licensees of QUALCOMM. Nokia will be just one of the herd. They need all the delay they can get.

The worry about 3G is perfect for creating delay. Fortunately, the big bids in Europe for 3G will see them steamrollered in short order. GPRS is looking like a lemon, same as WAP [did anyone seriously expect something different]

Bring on 3G!

Mqurice



To: The Verve who wrote (5993)1/7/2001 3:36:36 PM
From: EJhonsa  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 196740
 
1) Ability to watch TV on phone. (Not sure if I would pay a large monthly fee for that, but I certainly would invest in a new handset to be able to tune in to certain programs when I'm out and about)...None of these are killer apps...not like the killer app of making a call on the road on a 1G cell phone or sending email to your friends and accessing info quickly on an Internet connection.

As I've stated before, I think that the potential for TV and other such streaming video via handsets can't be underestimated, and that this, by itself, could definitely be a revolutionary killer app for 3G.

Studies have shown that the average American watches six hours of TV/day. No, that's not a typo. I'm sure that the number for most other developed nations while somewhat lower, is still fairly high (i.e. 3-4 hours/day). Just let those numbers sink in. Video, whether in the form of television, on-demand streaming, videoconferencing, or anything else, is something that human beings are instinctively drawn to, perhaps even more so than voice, web browsing, and other types of communications. I doubt that even the most starry-eyed optimist, 50 years ago, could've imagined the popularity that television now possesses, just as no one 120 years could've predicted the popularity that the telephone would eventually see.

Of course, these technologies could only take flight as long as they're available instantaneously, only a couple of seconds after a given person suddenly has the urge to use them. Want to call someone? Just pick up a phone and dial a number? Want to check out a certain web site? Just load your browser and type the URL. Want to Im someone? Well, you get the idea. This, in turn, is what's limited the popularity of streaming video over PCs. The technology simply hasn't been able to hold a candle to the TV in terms of instantaneous availability. However, in the wireless arena, not only will availability be near-instantaneous, the TV no longer exists exists as a competitor. You've got your handset/PDA available to you as a source for video...and nothing else.

In the past 20 years, a revolution's taken place. Voice has finally been untethered from the confines of homes and buildings, and has become available within the overwhelming majority of all locations, indoors or outdoors, within the civilized world. Inevitably, the speed at which this revolution took place blew away all expectations. With the advent of 3G, a similar revolution's set to take place with regards to video; and, provided that the technologies and services that'll bring it to consumers are implemented properly, the ramafications could be just as far-reaching.

Eric

PS - The potential of wireless online gaming as a killer app also shouldn't be ignored. Like video, games act as an excellent time-killer. Furthremore, unlike video gaming via consoles, no additional hardware's needed; and unlike gaming via PCs, availability should be near-instantaneous. Thus, millions of wireless subscribers who generally don't play video games could be drawn to them when delivered via a wireless medium. DoCoMo's reported that gaming's currently the most widely used application for i-mode.