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To: timers who wrote (56696)1/11/2001 12:22:50 AM
From: marginmike  Respond to of 436258
 
If economy gets re-inflated inflation could be ignited. Despite the common myth Inflation is alive and kicking. If dollar hits crapper and money leaves treasuries then real rates could go up even when fed is lowering.



To: timers who wrote (56696)1/11/2001 12:26:32 AM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
i think the low in mortgage rates is in fact VERY close...they tend to trend with the long bond, and that one is beginning to top out. it's maybe not quite there yet, but it's close.



To: timers who wrote (56696)1/11/2001 12:28:58 AM
From: Archie Meeties  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
The official inflation numbers are now higher than they were before AG began raising rates. The leading indicators retreated a bit b/c of oil and the base metals, but AG can't really ease much further than another 50-75 basis points, as a guess until inflation really starts easing. And that much is almost priced in. BTW, it would be a mistake to think that lower mortgage rates automatically means more housing/building.


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