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Strategies & Market Trends : A.I.M Users Group Bulletin Board -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LemonHead who wrote (14349)1/13/2001 1:40:22 PM
From: aptus  Respond to of 18928
 
Hello Keith, excellent post. I think people should reread this one from time to time.

regards,
mark.



To: LemonHead who wrote (14349)1/13/2001 4:50:38 PM
From: Jack Jagernauth  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18928
 
Hi Keith,

Excellent post! Thanks for sharing your investing / speculating approach with us.

Here is a follow up question:

Is speculating, using AIM with entry and exit points, worth the effort, or could you have done just as well, or even better, simply AIMing everything with a longer time horizon in mind?

Thanks,

Jack



To: LemonHead who wrote (14349)1/14/2001 8:42:54 AM
From: matvest  Respond to of 18928
 
HI Keith, Thanks for the thought provoking post on speculative vs core holdings. I guess it is all in how one defines these terms. My view as to what is speculative is an investment with great risk. For example a dot commer with no earnings, thin market based on guesses, untested management, etc. The kind of stock that is largely based on "hot air" and "great hopes." It is a lottery type stock. On the other hand, I view a stock or fund that has proven management, a proven profitable history, enough cash to be able to avoid bankruptcy, and a business plan that has worked and appears to be working as an investment. All my investments are core holdings and all of them are subject to change. I don't think that anyone can project that any company will still be an investment in 10 years. For example in 1991 most would have said that PG&E would be a good investment in 10 years. The largest Utility in California would have to be a great long term stock. It was, but now it's not. It may be again, but right now it's facing bankruptcy in less than 20 days. The story changed.

That's why I agree with those who say we have to know WHY we got into a security and review our holdings on a regular basis to determine whether it is still a valid choice. Our business plans should include a regular periodic review of what we already own. If we find that the stock's story is no longer valid then we replace it with something that has a great story. Where it is in the AIM cycle shouldn't matter, but because the market is probably not going to reward a stock that is going into the tank it will probably be nearer the bottom rather than the top of the cycle.

For What It's Worth,
Larry M