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Strategies & Market Trends : Anthony @ Equity Investigations, Dear Anthony, -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: peter michaelson who wrote (68573)	3/18/2001 2:00:46 AM
From: TWICK	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 122087

Like the japanese secular bear market: 11 years and counting. Not even dropping interest rates to nearly ZERO is helping Japan. Twick

To: peter michaelson who wrote (68573)	3/18/2001 5:43:15 AM
From: RockyBalboa	Respond to of 122087

Peter, I have read through the last messages regarding the "market bubble and the reent calm", and I have the impression that many people want the "bubble" (or the fast-acting markets) back. This type of market anomaly we saw last year is over, fertig, finished and what we see is a bit more rationality in the future, or markts with less turnover, price volatility etc... The small Austrian exchange went throught the same process... it qualdrupled in the late 80s to 1991 but imploded when the fact - the opening of the Eastern Block finally happened.

To: peter michaelson who wrote (68573)	3/18/2001 8:29:10 AM
From: eims2000	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 122087

Very good peter.:) Personally, I put most of the current markets trend on the fact that we did have a bubble and this is the result after it burst. Unlike previous bears in the last 30 years (actually back to 29) stocks crashed or downtrended FROM RELATIVELY STABLE P/Es in light of economic conditions. Thus they would then recover when the economy improved. Bubbles are quite different though, these stocks are still on their way DOWN to stable PEs. And this doesn't even take into account if these companies start reporting losses. Many of these products are of the nature that once you sell one to every person on the globe, growth slows down quite rapidly. But you are most correct, it takes a long time for many to reenter after such a thrashing.