Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: John Pitera who wrote (3506)	3/20/2001 3:11:43 PM
From: Yorikke	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 33421

"need to monitor developments closely" (?) As opposed to periods when they don't!??

To: John Pitera who wrote (3506)	3/21/2001 1:31:26 AM
From: IndexTrader	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 33421

John, Hope you have been well! Do you know where I can get a chart of population growth rates? I am interested in comparing population growth rates with GDP & stock market growth rates. I read an interesting study recently & would like to do some research. nbi.dk Have you read this paper by Johansen? Johansen's theory is quite interesting. His thesis is that both population & stock market growth rates are growing at MORE than exponential rates and that they will do so until a fixed point in time..(well, 2053 to be exact). More of that later. Here is another paper along the same lines. hanson.gmu.edu My thoughts are that these ideas coordinate well with Marty Armstrong's idea of a Private Sector 51 year cycle (starting in 1980). The idea is that this private sector funding/combined with exponential population growth, are unable to produce a long protracted bear/slow growth period. Add into the mix a "Moore" like doubling of Tech innovation, & it is unlikely that we see a prolonged resession. Johansen sees a finite end to the growth in 2053 and predicts a Dow 100K prior to that. I would like to look at the population growth rate statistics and see if his theories make any sense. If you know of any population statistics, I would appreciate it. Thanks Susan P.S. 2053 appears to be the blowup for Johansen. He does not seem to offer much hope for the world beyond that point.