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Technology Stocks : Global Crossing - GX (formerly GBLX) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rob C. who wrote (13273)8/9/2001 3:24:29 PM
From: BWAC  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 15615
 
Screw CSFB. That was the stupidest article I've seen today. How many misconstructions, deviations from what GX actually said could they cram into 200 words or less?

1.) "$5 target price." Hell thats only 50% of the $11 Billion in tangible property plant and equipment that make up the network.

2.) "lowered financial forecasts for the years 2002-2007."
Hell of a crystal ball they have there.

3.)"cut 2,000 jobs, or 15 percent of its work force."
Yeah as in eliminated, not needed, due to the current slower buildout phase GX is entering.

4.)"reflected "low-quality" revenues " Damn crappy MSFT, Dept of Defense, Embassies, DirectTV, NATO, etc.

5.)"funding gap of about $80 million in 2003" Sell a frigging airplane or boat or something to raise that. Don't the BOD members carry around that much as pocket change anyway?

Geeeeez. These sobs never give up throwing fuel on a fire they are trying to light FOR THEIR OWN PROFIT. Not ours or GX the company.



To: Rob C. who wrote (13273)8/9/2001 3:24:30 PM
From: CRL  Respond to of 15615
 
This guy thinks he's good enough to target a funding gap in 2003 that might amount to 1% or so of gross revenues. Talk about a showboat!



To: Rob C. who wrote (13273)8/9/2001 7:26:04 PM
From: Ally  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 15615
 
For 2002 revenue to be only $7.B, the analyst used around 8% growth rate over 2001 (assuming 2001 comes in at midpoint guidance). He is also not factoring in reduced operating expenses for next year. Putting his numbers into my model, I find his estimate very low.

From my model: On 10% growth, cash revenue would come in at $7.3B, and adj. EBITDA at $2.1B. After paying interest and dividend, $1.3B would be left for capex.

Seems to me the analyst is trying to make his mark by putting GX in the worst possible scenario.

Let's see what Sheldon has to say about this estimate which is way off from Sheldon's.

As for the funding deficit in 2003 and 2004, it looks like he is assuming a massive capex required for expanding the existing network capacity.



To: Rob C. who wrote (13273)8/9/2001 7:58:22 PM
From: trainleaving  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 15615
 
If that is their true outlook, then here's something they've overlooked.

If the market for bandwidth customers is going to be so bad over the next few years, there are companies that are going to go bankrupt far earlier than GX. That will have a 2-fold affect by reducing supply and forcing customers to choose one of the surviving carriers.

Either way, I see GX as a survivor and a win-win investment.