To: Zeev Hed who wrote (52155 ) 9/14/2001 8:47:48 PM From: Fred Levine Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976 From the Russian Journal: Russian-US cooperation may be limited MOSCOW (Reuters) - Russia's magnanimous offer to assist Washington in rooting out terrorism after this week's U.S. calamities belies considerable differences in outlook which analysts say could keep cooperation limited. President Vladimir Putin made the offer within hours of the attacks on New York and Washington, saying they provided further proof of the need to pool efforts against terrorists. Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov appeared even to endorse the notion of a U.S. riposte, saying: "In the fight against terrorism, all possible means are to be used, from political means and if necessary the use of force." The United States made it clear that it wanted Moscow involved in working out an international response, with Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage travelling to Moscow next week to discuss cooperation in dealing with Afghanistan. But beyond deep mistrust of Afghanistan's hardline Muslim Taliban leadership, home to Osama bin Laden, chief U.S. suspect in the attacks, the two sides may find little common ground. "If there is to be any cooperation with Russia, it is most likely to be low-key in nature," said independent defence analyst Pavel Felgenhauer. "The Americans would surely see a risk of information going into the wrong hands. And that means they will almost certainly act alone or rely on only their closest allies, like Britain." RUSSIAN LINKS WITH IRAN, IRAQ COULD GET IN THE WAY Newly revived Russian interest by Putin's administration in Soviet-era allies like Iran, Iraq and Syria also put a brake on any move to closer joint action, Felgenhauer said. "Russia wants to sell billions of dollars of military equipment to these countries, which would be disapproved by the United States. And Russia would almost certainly reject any call to halt cooperation with Iraq," he said. "It is only on Afghanistan and the Taliban that everyone agrees." Differences with Washington in recent months have focused on U.S. plans to proceed with a missile defence system directed against "rogue states" which include Iran and Iraq. The latest talks on the issue, including U.S. resolve to abandon the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile treaty, were postponed after the attacks and will now take place in Moscow next week. With Moscow media speculating that agreement could be reached on staging attacks from ex-Soviet Central Asia, Russian officials hastened to make public the limits they saw to cooperation. Armed forces' chief of staff Anatoly Kvashnin said Moscow was unlikely to join in retaliatory strikes as the U.S. armed forces were "powerful enough to handle the task by themselves". Defence Minister Sergei Ivanov said he saw no basis "for even hypothetical assumptions" that strikes could be launched from Central Asia - the area Russia says is most at risk from the influence of Muslim fundamentalism. CHECHNYA CAMPAIGN ALSO A FACTOR Moscow's campaign in Chechnya is another mitigating factor - though Putin's reference to Russia understanding terrorism better than anyone was certainly an allusion to arguments that separatists there are backed by a "terrorist international". Though Western accusations of "disproportionate use of force" by Russian troops in Chechnya have died down in recent months, the issue remains an irritant. "In exchange (for cooperation), Russia might expect the West to be more understanding in its attitude towards events in Chechnya," said Boris Makarenko, deputy director of Centre for Political Technologies. "Russia would also need assurances that this is not merely an agreement of convenience but that it is to be treated as an equal with the West." Analysts also said that U.S. strategists should not forget sensitivities in view of recent Soviet and Russian history. A decade after the fall of communism, many Russian politicians now see little benefit gained from Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev's decision to join the U.S.-led coalition against Iraq in response to Baghdad's 1990 invasion of Kuwait. And Russia remains deeply scarred by the 13,000 dead from its own 10-year intervention in Afghanistan in support of a leftist government battling U.S.-backed guerrillas. "If we are talking about an attack on Afghanistan, you must understand that Russia is fed up to the teeth with problems in Afghanistan. The so-called Afghan syndrome of the 1980s is still very much with us," said Grigory Bondarevsky, consultant to the Institute of Eastern Studies in Moscow. "Russia, of course, clearly has a key interest in all this. It was the first to point to the involvement of international terrorism in Chechnya and the first to warn of the danger of fundamentalism in Central Asia." fred