Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: mishedlo who wrote (10156)	9/23/2001 7:31:50 PM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 74559

Hi mishedlo, I like to believe ... (a) I am not an alarmist, but a 'thunker' hoping to keep financial balance and momentum (b) I paint some scenarios to keep myself alert to the fact that I must not be overly confident on what the media says Message 16399284 (c) I constantly remind myself that I lack imagination, and that others do help with the picture Message 16400830 (d) While demand will weaken, supply may dry up altogether, in fits and starts, making all the middlemen needing to charge more, due to genuine source supply issues or rise in cost of shipping (e) Perversely, air travel cost may increase, and as CB noted, telecom capacity may go into full utilization Message 16400610 (f) Anything can happen from here on out, and if it is strange enough, it has a better chance of being believed to happen (g) One ship going down in the Hormuz will see oil zip pronto upward by, what, USD 5/barrel? Another fallen royal house will see price zip to, what else, USD 10/barrel? (h) While this is not a scenario to bet on happening, but neither is it one to bet against. Chugs, Jay