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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ChrisJP who wrote (31145)	2/19/2002 9:12:28 PM
From: Caxton Rhodes	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99280

S&P since 90: siliconinvestor.com Caxton

To: ChrisJP who wrote (31145)	2/19/2002 9:38:20 PM
From: 4rthofjuly007	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99280

>>Extrapolate the trendline from 1991 - 1995, which were 5 slow growth years. The extrapolated value of the S&P 500 based on that trend line is maybe just a little bit below where it is now -- like 1000ish<< You make a good point and I am wondering if you could make the same trendline calculation for the compx. Seriously, I am not sure what it is and am very curious.

To: ChrisJP who wrote (31145)	2/20/2002 6:44:26 AM
From: LTK007	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99280

we were 614 in Sep.2001 and 637 in Jan.2002.In Sep.98 we were at 481 and in Jan.99 we were at 997(and with Y2k p/c bonanza ramping up ahead).That is why i see flat to slow recovery. Message 17084055 post again Wennerstorm's link--he does excellent work getting this data online.

To: ChrisJP who wrote (31145)	2/20/2002 6:53:18 AM
From: LTK007	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99280

<<As for valuations, do yourself a favor -- go find or print out a long term chart of the S&P 500 on a log scale. Extrapolate the trendline from 1991 - 1995, which were 5 slow growth years. The extrapolated value of the S&P 500 based on that trend line is maybe just a little bit below where it is now -- like 1000ish. That doesn't even take into account interest rates and unemployment back then vs. now.>> simple explanation,when we break below your line will can OFFICIALLY pronounce the Bull is dead.And we have entered BEAR market evaluations.