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To: robert b furman who wrote (206)4/13/2002 3:57:44 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13403
 
Hi Bob, A very nice write up of the whole process. I certainly buy in to what you say.

I hope you are right about your following statement:

<<I think next week will help advance that concept.>>

Don



To: robert b furman who wrote (206)4/13/2002 5:38:42 PM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 13403
 
In my experience,buying into fear - when no one knows when the sales will trough is a safer buy (lowest possible draw down of the account).

Sometimes the fear is justifited:

epets
etoys
xoxo
Enron
Lucent?
WCOM?
JDSU?
IBM?
GE?
AMAT?

Some have good histories over many cycles and others don't.

I think buying early can set you up for a grand slam if you are lucky and you buy when it stops falling, but you risk losing all your capital. Cary's approach is safer at a cost of lower potential future returns... Safe is usually better but some of us like to gamble...

Kirk