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To: Bucky Katt who wrote (11060)5/28/2002 9:06:10 PM
From: xcr600  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13094
 
Journal paints grim picture for Nortel, JDS
CTVNEWS.com Staff
Tue. May. 28 2002 9:06 AM

The respected financial magazine, Barron's, says the worst may still be ahead for Nortel and JDS Uniphase. The publication has included the high tech giants among a list of companies it says could completely collapse.

Washington-based analyst Scott Cleland says "a combination of financial and operating problems makes the future unstable" for Nortel, JDS, and others among a list of companies entering "the insolvency zone."

Broker Gerry Robideau of Edward Jones Investments says although it's premature to throw in the towel, Nortel needs to see a turnaround in telecom spending in the next 12 to 18 months.

"Based on the heavy debt they've got and drying up of demand for their products, that possibility does exist," he says.

You don't have to look very far to figure out why Nortel has been added to this list: Two of its biggest customers -- AT&T and Sprint -- are also in the "insolvency zone."

"They need to pull back and get their financial house in order. And at the same time, overcapacity needs to be used up," Robideau says.

The same concerns have landed JDS Uniphase in the "insolvency zone" as well. But Robideau is not so sure he agrees

"Stating that a company has a risk of insolvency when it has $1.6 billion in cash and no debt is a little hard to envision," he says.

If telecom spending doesn't recover in time, both Nortel and JDS Uniphase have options to fend off a worst-case scenario, such as cutting more staff or issuing more shares and bonds.



To: Bucky Katt who wrote (11060)5/29/2002 2:23:10 PM
From: James Strauss  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 13094
 
Jim, my take is the index bleeding will continue for some time, no one wants to face the simple fact that many big cap stocks are overvalued, and that has to be worked off. Earnings have a long way to go to catch up to stock valuations, so what will happen first? Earnings go up or market caps go down? And we are still the laughing stock of the investing world, and that has to be fixed. Soon.

William:

Here's an analysis I did of the SPX a few weeks ago...
Message 17467353

We're in for another test of the 1050 area... A failure sets up a test of the 945 to 960 area...

I'd like to see a derivative of the QQQ's on the short side... I'm not talking puts or shorts, just another form of QQQ traded on the major exchanges that shorts the NDX...

Jim