Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Pastimes : BS Bar & Grill - Open 24 Hours A Day -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Snowshoe who wrote (2376)	11/6/2002 2:29:47 AM
From: Bilow	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 6901

Hi Snowshoe; Re: "Given the current national security situation, I expect the Republicans will dominate for years." Interesting speculation. This would depend on whether the Republicans can keep a crisis atmosphere going for that long. I would think it would be rather difficult, as the level of public enthusiasm for the Bush administration has been dropping more or less steadily since its WTC attack peaks. By contrast, the Democratic long lasting majorities during Roosevelt's era were undoubtedly partly due to WW2, but those majorities predated the war (and were caused by the economic collapse). I think that the best predictor for long periods of control of the senate by one side or the other is very lopsided senate majorities, as the data here will show (numbers are as of the date when the senators elected in that years election took office -- the actual history is considerably more complicated). To show a real effect you'd want to see a lot of seats changing hands, especially as the "war on terror" is a ebbing political asset rather than a growing one. For pedagogical purposes, I've bolded the entries where the second largest party is within 10% (i.e. 10 senators in the current size chamber) of the leading party. Note that these bolded entries generally precede periods of even handed trading off: 1788 Pro-Admin. 18 to Anti-Admin. 8 1790 Pro-Admin. 16 to Anti-Admin. 13 1792 Pro-Admin. 16 to Anti-Admin. 14 1794 Federalist 21 to Republican 11 1796 Federalist 22 to Republican 10 1798 Federalist 22 to Republican 10 1800 Republican 17 to Federalist 15 1802 Republican 25 to Federalist 9 1804 Republican 27 to Federalist 7 1806 Republican 28 to Federalist 6 1808 Republican 27 to Federalist 7 1810 Republican 30 to Federalist 6 1812 Republican 29 to Federalist 8 1814 Republican 26 to Federalist 26 1816 Republican 30 to Federalist 12 1818 Republican 37 to Federalist 9 1820 Republican 44 to Federalist 4 1822 Jack./Rep 31 to Adams/Rep 17 1824 Jacksonian 26 to Adams 22 1826 Jacksonian 27 to Adams 21 1828 Jacksonian 25 to Anti-Jack. 22 1830 Jacksonian 24 to Anti-Jack. 22, National Rep 2 1832 Anti-Jack. 26 to Jacksonian 20, National Rep 2 1834 Jacksonian 26 to Anti-Jack. 24, National Rep 2 1836 Democrat 35 to Whig 17 1838 Democrat 30 to Whig 22 1840 Whig 29 to Democrat 22, Vacant 1 1842 Whig 29 to Democrat 23 1844 Democrat 34 to Whig 22 1846 Democrat 38 to Whig 21, Indep. Demo 1 1848 Democrat 35 to Whig 25, Free Soiler 1 1850 Democrat 36 to Whig 23, Free Soiler 3 1852 Democrat 38 to Whig 22, Free Soiler 2 1854 Democrat 39 to Whig 22, American Party 1 1856 Democrat 41 to Republican 20, American Party 5 1858 Democrat 38 to Republican 26, American Party 2 1860 Republican 31 to Democrat 15, Unionist 3 1862 Republican 33 to Democrat 10, Unc. Union. 5, Unionists 4 1864 Republican 39 to Democrat 11, Unc. Union. 3, Unionists 1 1866 Republican 57 to Democrat 9 1868 Republican 62 to Democrat 12 1870 Republican 56 to Democrat 17, Liberal Rep. 1 1872 Republican 47 to Democrat 19, Liberal Rep. 7 1874 Republican 46 to Democrat 28, Indep. Rep. 1 1876 Republican 40 to Democrat 35, Independent 1 1878 Democrat 42 to Republican 33, Independent 1 1880 Republican 37 to Democrat 37, Indep. 1, Readjuster 1 1882 Republican 38 to Democrat 36, Readjuster 2 1884 Republican 42 to Democrat 34 1886 Republican 39 to Democrat 37 1888 Republican 51 to Democrat 37 1890 Republican 47 to Democrat 39, Populist 2 1892 Democrat 44 to Republican 40, Populist 3, Silver 1 1894 Republican 44 to Democrat 40, Populist 4, Silver 2 1896 Republican 44 to Democrat 34, Pop. 5, Sil. Rep. 5, Sil. 2 1898 Republican 53 to Democrat 26, Pop. 5, Sil. Rep. 3, Sil. 2, Vac 1 1900 Republican 56 to Democrat 32, Pop. 2 1902 Republican 57 to Democrat 33 1904 Republican 58 to Democrat 32 1906 Republican 61 to Democrat 31 1908 Republican 60 to Democrat 32 1910 Republican 52 to Democrat 44 1912 Democrat 41 to Republican 44, Progressive 1 1914 Democrat 56 to Republican 40 1916 Democrat 54 to Republican 42 1918 Republican 49 to Democrat 47 1920 Republican 59 to Democrat 37 1922 Republican 43 to Democrat 42, Farmer-Labor 1 1924 Republican 54 to Democrat 41, Farmer-Labor 1 1926 Republican 48 to Democrat 46, Farmer-Labor 1, Vacant 1 1928 Republican 56 to Democrat 39, Farmer-Labor 1 1930 Democrat 48 to Republican 47, Farmer-Labor 1 1932 Democrat 59 to Republican 36, Farmer-Labor 1 1934 Democrat 69 to Republican 25, Farmer-Labor 1, Progressive 1 1936 Democrat 76 to Republican 16, Farmer-Labor 2, Prog. 1, Indp. 1 1938 Democrat 69 to Republican 23, Farmer-Labor 2, Prog. 1, Indp. 1 1940 Democrat 66 to Republican 28, Prog. 1, Indp. 1 1942 Democrat 57 to Republican 38, Prog. 1 1944 Democrat 57 to Republican 38, Prog. 1 1946 Republican 51 to Democrat 45 1948 Democrat 54 to Republican 42 1950 Democrat 49 to Republican 47 1952 Republican 48 to Democrat 47, Independent 1 1954 Democrat 48 to Republican 47, Independent 1 1956 Democrat 49 to Republican 47 1958 Democrat 65 to Republican 35 1960 Democrat 64 to Republican 36 1962 Democrat 66 to Republican 34 1964 Democrat 68 to Republican 32 1966 Democrat 64 to Republican 36 1968 Democrat 57 to Republican 43 1970 Democrat 54 to Republican 44, Conservative 1, Independent 1 1972 Democrat 56 to Republican 42, Conservative 1, Independent 1 1974 Democrat 60 to Republican 38, Conservative 1, Independent 1 1976 Democrat 61 to Republican 38, Independent 1 1978 Democrat 58 to Republican 41, Independent 1 1980 Republican 53 to Democrat 46, Independent 1 1982 Republican 54 to Democrat 46 1984 Republican 53 to Democrat 47 1986 Democrat 55 to Republican 45 1988 Democrat 55 to Republican 45 1990 Democrat 56 to Republican 44 1992 Democrat 57 to Republican 43 1994 Republican 52 to Democrat 48 1996 Republican 55 to Democrat 45 1998 Republican 55 to Democrat 45 2000 Republican 50 to Democrat 50 2002 Republican 50+ to Democrat 46+, Independent 1 Source: 216.239.53.100 -- Carl P.S. Let's see if I've procastinated enough by digging up these numbers so that I can add the 2002 election figures in. I guess not, what with the Louisiana results, but I'm sure that the Senate will be within 10% of deadlocked.

To: Snowshoe who wrote (2376)	11/6/2002 3:37:33 PM
From: Condor	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 6901

Alaska Pipeline Going Back Online By ALLEN BAKER 11/06/2002 14:03:09 EST ANCHORAGE, Alaska (AP) - Workers began the slow process Wednesday morning of restarting the trans-Alaska oil pipeline, which was shut down after a strong earthquake over the weekend, officials said. It was expected to take several hours to bring the huge oil pipeline back to normal flow. The work was being done slowly so that any problems could be spotted quickly. Tanker loading at Valdez could resume as early as Thursday, according to Mike Heatwole of Alyeska Pipeline Service Co. The 800-mile, 48-inch diameter line, which carries about a sixth of the nation's oil production, was shut down Sunday in the wake of a magnitude 7.9 earthquake. It damaged pipeline supports and moved sections of the line up to seven feet, but did not cause any leaks. Officials wanted to make sure temporary supports placed under the line at some points were adequate to deal with any new quakes, said Marnie Isaacs of Alyeska. Aftershocks were continuing in the region, according to the Alaska Earthquake Information Center in Fairbanks, which reported magnitude 4.0 and magnitude 3.9 quakes Wednesday morning. More than a dozen contractors had worked around the clock to get the pipeline back in operation, with nearly 300 people on the job Tuesday, according to Heatwole. The affected area is about 150 miles south of Fairbanks in an area that was known to be earthquake-prone when the line was built. Special measures were taken along that section of the line, which is above ground, to allow for movement in the event of a quake. Gov. Tony Knowles said the pipeline "did exactly what it's supposed to do in an earthquake. It bent but it did not break." The pipeline normally carries about a million barrels of oil to Valdez each day. While only one person was injured in Sunday's quake, it caused major damage to roads, and officials estimated those alone would cost around $20 million to repair.