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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: NightOwl who wrote (83270)	3/18/2003 6:04:38 AM
From: unclewest	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 281500

Speaking from my military education and background, I see an unusual high threat to our safety right now. Tactical surprise is a key component to any attack. Often surprise alone will ensure victory. Small units often use surprise to conquer much larger units. I know that from experience with ambushes and other surprise attack techniques. While I thought GWB did a terrific job on TV last night, we lost tactical surprise when he announced a specific time-line of 48 hours. I could easily make the case that he gave the tactical advantage of surprise to our foes. The question is will they use it? I can say this...with my training, I would be looking for ways to attack us right now in any way possible before the 48 hours is up. A substantial and demoralizing surprise attack on us would provide a huge morale boost to our foes and other would-be attackers. They would see our vulnerability once again and become emboldened to make even more attacks. I also think it is a mistake to assume this war with Iraq will be a cakewalk just because the last one was. War is chaotic at best. We have the best war planners of all time, but each of them knows that when the shooting starts nothing goes according to their plans. Sinced 9/11 all Americans know we are vulnerable. I believe that vulnerability is greatly increased for the next few days. unclewest

To: NightOwl who wrote (83270)	3/18/2003 6:12:41 AM
From: bela_ghoulashi	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

>> I myself won't be able to "favor" it until and unless it succeeds. << or: "How to get nowhere without really trying..." Not the most motivating and inspirational pov I've ever read.

To: NightOwl who wrote (83270)	3/18/2003 9:07:05 AM
From: FaultLine	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 281500

And taking more than a week to defeat Iraq will be dangerously close to defeat. My prediction: large-scale, organized opposition will be over within two, maybe three, days... --fl

To: NightOwl who wrote (83270)	3/18/2003 3:06:08 PM
From: KLP	Respond to of 281500

NO...I wonder how we can reasonably even begin to think that a "war" would/could be finished in a week? WHAT is that kind of thinking? The only way I can see that happening is if the US and allies go in and just bomb everything, in all directions. Flat. Do you think that will happen. No, I didn't think so. Neither do I. It really does seem to me very childlike to expect that this could be done in a week, if care is taken to care for as many civilians as possible, to care for the centuries old ruins, to say nothing of trying to get the "real culprit Saddam...." Which one will he be, BTW? I understand there might be several of him.