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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pezz who wrote (37361)8/21/2003 3:27:02 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
A good one :0)



To: pezz who wrote (37361)8/22/2003 12:29:44 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 74559
 
Hi Pezz, Tonight's Report:

Purchased a plop of EWJ uk.finance.yahoo.com @ USD 8.27/shr and added to my existing Japan bet. No, I do not believe Japan's recovery has any staying power, but the momentum of belief may yield some profit in any case.

Chugs, Jay



To: pezz who wrote (37361)8/29/2003 4:45:17 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Pezz, Today's Report:

<<See, not scary but fun and profitable>>

... Yes, I see, and am learning, buy and buy, gain by profit :0)

As the initial part of my global strategic asset allocation for calendar year 2004, I have dispatched three equal numbers of naval infantry Special Forces (since they must be kept as busy as possible while still not being put in situations of absolutely certain death) down-under, into the Great Outback's of Australia, where there is almost no water that is not infested by gobbling creatures, to take up advance scout positions at these companies at the indicated prices:

Alkane Exploration uk.finance.yahoo.com at AUD 0.495/shr alkane.com.au

Aztec Resources uk.finance.yahoo.com at AUD 0.08/shr aztecresources.com.au [EDIT: Maurice Alert: I thought of you when I was directed here, just before I started chanting and dancing to the Aztec drum beat ':0] ]

Record Investments uk.finance.yahoo.com at AUD 3.00/shr recordinv.com.au

… and commanded half as many troops to belly-crawl onto this position:

Millepede International uk.finance.yahoo.com at AUD 0.28-0.285/shr millepede.com

Even as I bought enough of each company to materially move the prices, I cannot tell you much about them, because I do not know much about their businesses or situations, but the Alkane and Aztec are obviously gold exploration wagers, whereas Millepede has some simple gizmo that is awing the world, and Record Investments will apparently take over the planet.

I like dreams, especially where anything is possible, and that is precisely the excitement:0)

I know you like micro-caps. How about nano-caps :0?

As I mentioned before, I am not in the habit of doing detailed DD during which I may get confused by facts or distracted by the important. I prefer to go by instinct and that special feeling in my mid-section, and so I rush in where fools have been before, before it is too late, pile on, but in measured paces, denominated by initial 'dollops', to be followed by progressive adds and maturing into full-position 'tranches', hoping that events will allow these mature position to develop into attention-focusing 'bouquets', and later, luck-willing, into mind-balance altering 'bushel baskets'.

To control risk, I rush money into all four, taking a private equity approach to public equity investments, and then contemplate my belly-button for awhile before adding more.

My brave money are joining their comrades already bivouacked at these two companies, and I hope they do as well or better than the Lumacom contingent or at least no worse then the Metal Storm brigade:

Lumacom (LUM.AX) uk.finance.yahoo.com
Subject 53628 has gained by 6-fold since I bought in, is my largest single holding, and now accounts for 3.56% of my expanded NAV (as reference, NEM accounts for 2.66% of my NAV) – there is nothing quite like nano-cap growth;

Metal Storm (MST.AX) finance.yahoo.com
metalstorm.com has moved up 41% today, after a steady-state holding period of, oh, Message 19140734 <<July 24th, 2003>> 35 days, thus indicating a gain of a bit more than 1% per day, or 490% annualized.

As in situations before, should you wish for more excitement than you already have, I welcome you to sign up with the Coalition of the Willing, make up some intelligence excuse, and dispatch some troops my way, so that you may claim any spoils that may make themselves apparent, or instead, have some experience of quagmire, unable to sleep at night and unable to stay awake during the day. Should a UN resolution be required for political cover, draft one and I will see what I can do :0)

Oh, yeah, before I sign off, I almost forgot, I sold my Hopewell Holdings hopewellholdings.com
finance.yahoo.com at HKD 8.90/shr
… and the free warrants finance.yahoo.com at 0.76/wt.

I captured proceeds of HKD 8.98/shr (including warrant attribution), and crystallized a return in excess of 56% over 135 days.

I figure I will own Hopewell Holdings again, before too long, but after return of SARS.

I love Hong Kong traded shares, because they bob up and down with such regularity, as if they are on a high-fiber diet or otherwise swallowed a length of hemp rope whole, then pulled through the other end, returning steady returns year-in and 12 months-out, without ever going to unsustainable valuation levels:0)

In case you cannot tell, I am having a good day:0)

Reference Hopewell Holdings gamble and wager:
Message 18836407 <<April 15th, 2003>> and Message 18760455 <<May 27th, 2003>> and got the free warrant here Message 19229349 <<August 21st, 2003>>

Chugs, Jay



To: pezz who wrote (37361)9/1/2003 5:39:17 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Pezz, Today’s Report:
The main issue for today was Message 19261393 , as in ‘what to do with HKD hoard?’

To remind you, I had sold my out-of-favor AUD Message 19252161 for a bushel of disliked HKD, and I must do something, almost anything, to get out of HKD, given its close relationship to that other disaster-to-happen called USD.

The secondary issue for today was that gold has risen quite respectably in the past few days, and notwithstanding my great love for gold, my paper gold position (as opposed to my physical gold position) was always meant for trading. I fubbed the trading a few times, and may fub it a few more times, but I must keep trying.

I am highly reluctant to trade my beloved gold, physical or paper, but I remind myself of that strange, ugly, and pathetic little character in “Lord of the Rings, Twin Towers”, slave to hobbit, that goes around mumbling, ‘master stole our precious (ring)’ and the folks that were destroyed by their love of gold.

Anyway, philosophy and fairy tales aside, I did thus:

(a) Reduced my gold allocation from 14.6% down to 12.6% at today’s price, claiming a 14% gain from this purchase Message 18826924 <<April 11th, 2003>> when the world’s debt looked to be less, geopolitical situation looked brighter, victory in wars sooner, and triumph of conquest more total.

(b) Converted a whole lot of HKD into CAD, upping CAD allocation to 25.2% from 18.6%.

Yes, now I am way the *&^$%4?! over-weight in CAD, which is a big gamble for any USD-denominated financial refugee. I just figure that there are currencies, there are other less worthy currencies, and then there is gold, and they must all be traded, because there is no null-position, and there must be no rest for capital.

I am keeping the pot stirred in my attempt to solidify, protect, and otherwise crystallize my 12.13% NAV gain (translates to a 17.9% gain on actively managed portion of asset) for 2003. This is all hard work.

I am prepared to continue selling down my paper gold as it rises, and continue buying CAD as it falls.

Chugs, Jay



To: pezz who wrote (37361)9/2/2003 3:19:44 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Pezz, Early Morning Report:

According to KJC, I dodged a torpedo of a typhoon. I did not know because I was asleep soundly, behind my 8 mm thick window glass, snug in comforter, but still cooled by air-con.

Anyway, to the game:

I shorted a dollop of Lehman iShares 20+yr Treasury Bond (TLT) uk.finance.yahoo.com March 2004 strike price 80 Puts, because I believe I will not be putted the derived synthetic bond units at that price at a loss. I collected USD 3.30/unit of premium.

I figure:
(a) Derivative-panicked mortgage lenders severely sold their T-bill holdings as part of overall hedge adjustment, and caused over-reaction of T-bill pricing to the downside,

(b) The volatility is exaggerated, and temporary, because Al Greensputin is still in charge, however tenuous his reign,

(c) Max Pain iqauto.com (type ‘TLT’ and select March 2004 as expiration time) says USD 84 is the ‘right’ price for TLT by March of 2004,

(d) I am happy to hold a bit of the underlying 5.36% yielding TLT security if I must, and in exchange for that willingness, collect 4.13% of option premium,

(e) If I am wrong, and the TLT tanks more (T-bill rate rises more), then … well, I am guessing it will be because there is fear of high inflation, or tanking of USD, in which case the rest of my positions should do their day’s work, and

(g) Finally, I did the trade because I haven't a clue of what will happen.

Bring us back 10 years and it would be a bummer, less the Internet and all the easy access to wagering opportunities, not to mention exchanges of ideas ;0)

Chugs, Jay



To: pezz who wrote (37361)9/3/2003 12:26:35 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Pezz, Today's Report:
I dumped, without ceremony, my stake in the future of guns, Metal Storm uk.finance.yahoo.com , perhaps temporarily, for AUD 0.51/share.

The share was bought here Message 19140734 <<Jul 24, 2003>> for AUD 0.42, thus netting 21% in not so many days.

I figured, without spending too much time on it, that I should take profit while the taking is still good, and I probably can buy back in at cheaper price within a week or two.

Besides, the gun has an issue I am confounded with. At millions of rounds per minute, it would require 4000 troops to support each gun operating soldier, plus necessitating a supply train stretching a few hundred kilometers from wherever back to the beachhead.

Chugs, Jay



To: pezz who wrote (37361)9/3/2003 1:14:47 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hi Pezz, Noon Report:
Sold another dollop of paper gold at HKD 3448/tael (about 1.2 taels to the ounce), reducing physical/paper metal from 12.6 down to 12.3% of gross asset.

I am taking the cue from NEM, hearing it sounding the general retreat clarion call, for this round.

The attack on the Greensputin citadel and the BurnAndKaput fortress (secret weapon or no printing press) shall recommence, after a rest, after refreshment.

If the financial market is not a game, I do not know what is :0)

Chugs, Jay



To: pezz who wrote (37361)9/3/2003 5:46:21 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 74559
 
Hello again, Pezz, Late Afternoon Report:

I bought two dollops (that would be 2/3 of a tranche, or 1/6 of a attention-focusing bunch, or 1/12 of a mind-set altering bouquet) of this exotic real estate play, called a Corio uk.finance.yahoo.com , traded on the Amsterdam Exchange at Euro 28.37/shr.

I believe Amsterdam may be the location of one of the earliest properly organized stock exchanges on this planet, going back a few hundred years. Mr. Joseph de la Vega talks much about the Amsterdam Exchange in his book “Confusion de Confusiones” amazon.com , about all the shenanigans that went on long before the Americans invented Enron:0)

I bought this beast because Malcolm Member 7284797 owns it, and says while it may not grow much, it should protect what is already in place. I can tolerate the risk of ownership, because 11 PE @ 8+% dividend yield denominated in a currency that has a chance at USD 1.5:1 Euro is good enough for me.

Chugs, Jay



To: pezz who wrote (37361)9/3/2003 6:24:43 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Pezz, Pre-Dinner Report:
I figured I might as well sell some more gold while the selling is still good, and have just dropped gold allocation to 11.5% of gross asset from 12.3% of same, continuing the sell-down that started at 14.6% allocation.

If you dreamt that you are in a huge crowd of agitated folks in a gold mine, and hear a voice that shouts 'run away, run away', that would be me :0)

Chugs, Jay