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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (12396)11/5/2003 7:49:09 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95420
 
To Threaders, I made a mistake in the table I made in this post. My apologies to you all.

Message 19470067

The following is the corrected table. The column I had computed the rate of percent increase from March to now was set at 0.32 percent per day - it should have been 0.23 percent. That moves the "expected" 2050 date to 11/25/03 and the 2300 date to 1/19/04.


- Total Days Pct Proj
- NASQ Pct Pct Betwn Gain per Date for
Date Value Chge Chge Dates Day N Value
10/09/02 1114.11
03/11/03 1271.47 14 14 153 0.09
11/05/03 1959.37 54 76 239 0.23
?? 2050.00 5 84 20 0.23 11/25/03
?? 2300.00 12 106 54 0.23 01/19/04



To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (12396)11/5/2003 10:28:36 PM
From: BWAC  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95420
 
<bonds will get killed on that day>

TLT. Bond ETF.

Didn't Goldman say today that rates would be held steady til early 2005? (Or Nasdaq 5000. Whichever comes first)

Btw, No I don't believe the numbers. They don't correlate to what I see happening out there.

My obvious disgust comes from the continously out of balance economy that Greenspan keeps enabling. The boom to bust cycles he is enabling and encouraging are highly detrimental to most people. Sure you can buy a house cheap. Sure you can rack up market gains if you get out before he seeks to kill it. But the flip side is retired people who desire not to be in the market have had their income cut by half or more. And the countless people Greenspan has enticed into easy credit hell and into whatever crap stocks are flying. So right now its RIP for people who stick to bonds and interest income producing assets. next on the agenda will be the burial of everyone paying 50PE for stocks cause the inverse interest rate of 2% dictates it.

So my disgust and distrust comes from the damage I see coming thanks to these wildly unbalanced monetary policies.