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Technology Stocks : Helix Technology, a cold play on semiconductor equipment -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mopgcw who wrote (1110)11/24/2003 7:18:15 PM
From: mopgcw  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1227
 
GS US SEMI EQUIPMENT
WEEKLY: MARGIN
EXPANSION KEY TO NVLS
MID-QUARTER UPDATE
Summary: (1) Order expectations for Novellus' mid-quarter update are quite high so
we believe it will take margin expansion to drive the stock higher post the update.
We wouldn't be playing the quarter for a trade given the high expectations but we do
believe that investors with a 3-month time horizon should be overweight the stock
given its likely strong cyclical operating leverage, (2) AMD to build a new 300mm
fab, equipment ramp scheduled for 2004, mild positive for the stocks but we are
reluctant to place too much emphasis on the positive impact until the fab gets closer
to ordering equipment in mid-2004, (3) SIA Q2 8-inch fab utilization up again
sequentially to 88.7% with advanced utilizations substantially higher underscoring
the need for chipmakers to add capacity, and (4) News, Events and Price
Performance.
25. eBay Inc. EPS (FY Dec) 2003E $0.72, 2004E $1.05