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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (14440)4/13/2004 2:00:36 PM
From: Return to Sender  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95834
 
Don, thanks for the updates! Sadly, without institutional buying none of our favorite stocks can advance. About the best thing that can be said about today's session is that the volume is relatively light.

I'm afraid we may end up with a repeat of last quarters sell on the news market. Hope I'm wrong but the market is not yet showing me anything real positive to get excited about on the technical or indicator side of things.

RtS



To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (14440)4/13/2004 2:09:38 PM
From: The Ox  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 95834
 
One note on today's action, INTC has torpedoed the market many times in the past few years. I think some of the action is based on a flight to safety before INTC reports.

We've had a nice rebound off the lows of 2 weeks ago and the SOX jumped from 454 to 518 (+14%) during that time. RtS has mentioned his read that weakness now could be a nice setup for the next move north and I agree, as I have been selling into strength the last few days. I've taken more off the table this morning on the early move up.

For the very short term, I think siding with caution is a good thing. I'm protecting my leveraged gains and have moved to about 50% cash, based on this morning's failure/breakdown and because of the pop my trading stocks saw in the early action (reaching sell targets I had in place).

On the opposite side of the ledger, Japan continues to gain ground and having the #2 economy in the world add some strength is vital to the global economy. The US numbers are looking more attractive as well. But we are approaching May, and there are many people who still believe you sell in May and go away (from the market during the summer).



To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (14440)4/14/2004 10:39:36 AM
From: BMcV  Respond to of 95834
 
FWIW--the analysts on the NVLS CC didn't seem as obsessed with the length of the cycle as they did last Q. This time, they seemed more interested in how the company is managing growth: lead times, supply, new products, competitive position and so forth. Richard Hill did say that they expected revenues to reach the 2000 peak this year, but that unlike then, when customers ordered everything at once, there is more discretion.