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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: American Spirit who wrote (25211)5/24/2004 3:56:55 PM
From: Kenneth E. PhillippsRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 81568
 
Reminds me of 1992. Also reminds me of 1980.



To: American Spirit who wrote (25211)5/24/2004 4:02:33 PM
From: Rock_njRead Replies (3) | Respond to of 81568
 
I'd say things are looking pretty bad for Bush right now. His approval ratings and polling are indicating that he's going to lose this fall. Kerry keeping it close at this point, even after all that negative advertising by Bush, is not a good thing for Bush. The challenger usually picks up a few points from undecideds and also a Democrat will pick up a few points from those who fky below the polling radar, but will ultimately show up and vote. Which is exactly why he's making these speeches this week about putting Iraq back together properly and why suddenly he's encouraging UN involvment in the new Iraq. He's in over his head in Iraq, and he knows it, and the worst might yet come with the turnover of power.

The one thing Bush does have going for him is that the economy is finally picking up. The question is will this economic growth be felt in crucial states like Ohio before the election? Bush is kind of caught between a rock and a hard place at the moment, he needs economic growth and he needs to end the war, which will hurt economic growth.



To: American Spirit who wrote (25211)5/24/2004 4:07:08 PM
From: CalculatedRiskRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 81568
 
In political circles the strategic talk is shifting from Kerry vs. Bush (it is now Kerry's to lose), but to how long are Kerry's coattails. I've heard several pundits say that Congressmen are elected locally and are therefore immune to the "Bad News" Bush disease. Right, I've heard that before. Things are different this time.<g>

I expect to see a number of Republican Congressmen, trying to win reelection in the fall, to start distancing themselves from Bush. Maybe they will criticize his spending, or a safer idea might be to criticize Rumsfeld / Wolfowitz or Cheney.