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To: RetiredNow who wrote (65846)7/25/2004 12:22:32 PM
From: Lizzie Tudor  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 77400
 
I need to see where we end 2004 to make a prediction on 2005. I'm sure you know there is a whole group of people out there who think a Kerry win will cause the markets to rally, I am one of those people. So a lot of the markets depend on various events I think.

About all I am sure of is that the economy is bad now, as opposed to the "boom times" the fed is indicating. Thats where I differ with bulls most. But that is just whats happening today.



To: RetiredNow who wrote (65846)7/28/2004 3:38:11 PM
From: larry  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 77400
 
I still believe that we are in a secular bear market and won't get out of it for a long time. If the current stock market action is (again) an accurate indicator of where the economy is heading in 2-3 quarters, we are in for a long boring 2005.

I think that I did the right thing of buying another house in Boston area back in 2002. Certainly made more $$ than I could have had by investing in the stock market. The REIT is probably topping out for the next 5 years so it might be a better choice to put more cash in stock market. My gut feeling tells me that if I were to do so, shorting and buying puts are likely to be a better choice though.