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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TimF who wrote (21563)6/20/2006 11:55:35 AM
From: Dale Baker  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 541526
 
I don't have a link but I know I have heard studies that suggest that crime rates are largely a function of demographics, i.e. how many young people are around to commit crimes. Too bad I am too apathetic on this topic to go dig one out.

If it's true, then you would expect crime to drop as the baby boomers moved out of the crime-prone age range.



To: TimF who wrote (21563)6/21/2006 11:24:34 AM
From: JohnM  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 541526
 
Between 1973 and 1992, the rate of gun ownership in the U.S. increased by 45 percent (from 610 guns per 1,000 people to 887). The homicide rate during that period fell by nearly 10 percent (from 9.4 homicides per 100,000 people to 8.5).

That bit of information needs to be run through some sort of serious multivariate model before we know what to make of it.