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To: Kayaker who wrote (73964)10/27/2006 11:34:11 AM
From: Frank  Respond to of 206184
 
kayaker -- I agree with your overall point. Frank



To: Kayaker who wrote (73964)10/27/2006 11:49:03 AM
From: Claude  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206184
 
This is just conjecture on my part as I've not examined numbers to prove it and I would like to hear from those who really follow the HDD stuff but it seems to me having 50 degree days in Jan (where i live in the N.E.) is going to destroy much more demand than an overall warmer winter. My point is looking at last years warm winter compared to the other 8 or 9 we've had recently could that freak january do much more to destroy NG demand than those other warm winters?



To: Kayaker who wrote (73964)10/27/2006 2:00:51 PM
From: ridingycurve  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206184
 
We should keep in mind Robry's statement that today's reported temperatures are probably artificially high compared to historical due to the heat island effect created by continued development near reporting stations.



To: Kayaker who wrote (73964)10/27/2006 3:50:05 PM
From: whitepine  Respond to of 206184
 
Was warmest winter in xxx years also true for Russia last winter?

Do plants grow larger/better with greater concentrations of CO2?

Please define TREND as you have used it. 10 years, 25 years, 100 years, 1000 years?

If the world is warming, is it warming equally? Are data points for temps in your chart (1880 -- now) from the same places? Does your data discount the effect of heat islands from increasing urbanization?

On Lester Brown's page, perhaps I missed it, but I saw nothing about sun spot cycles. What impact do these have on 'global warming'?

wp



To: Kayaker who wrote (73964)1/3/2007 7:21:49 PM
From: Kayaker  Respond to of 206184
 
2007 Set to be World's Warmest

LONDON (Reuters) - The coming year is set to be the hottest on record worldwide due to global warming and the El Nino weather phenomenon, Britain's Meteorological Office said on Thursday.

After 2006 which was forecast last month to be the sixth warmest on record globally, the Met Office said the combination of factors would push average temperatures this year above the record set in 1998.

"This new information represents another warning that climate change is happening around the world," said Met Office scientist Katie Hopkins.

The world's ten warmest years have all occurred in the last 12 years, according to the United Nations' weather agency.

The highly respected Met Office, which makes a global forecast every January with the University of East Anglia, said it expected the world's average temperature to be 0.54 degrees Celsius about the 1961-1990 long-term average of 14.0 degrees.

There is a 60 percent probability that 2007 will be as warm or warmer than the current warmest year, 1998, which itself was 0.52 degrees above the long-term average it said in a statement....

news.yahoo.com