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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gary Korn who wrote (22143)11/9/1997 12:41:00 AM
From: PATRICK MCMONIGLE  Respond to of 61433
 
Gary
IMHO the only thing that is going to smash ASND from this price level is ASND management. First being any accounting snafu's like (ie) INFORMIX where they stuffed the channels with product. The only reason I bring this up is Mory sure sounds like Phil White before the bottom fell out at IFMX(E). I hope someone on this thread can investagate there selling practice. By the way the E in INFORMIX symbol is its waiting to be delisted from the NASDAQ because of its accounting practices.



To: Gary Korn who wrote (22143)11/9/1997 2:31:00 AM
From: pass pass  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 61433
 
Your compaq theory:

The Newest Member of Tech's Ruling
Elite

John Chambers

ome observers now put Cisco Systems on a par with Intel
and Microsoft. When CEO John Chambers recently visited
with a group of FORTUNE editors, it was clear that the
man has achieved a certain stature in the tech community. He
spoke like a statesman about the need for national standards for
education and about shareholder rights, two issues being pushed
heavily by TechNet, a group of Silicon Valley leaders. But once
the discussion got beyond the policy statements, Chambers the
CEO revealed himself as a competitive, paranoid businessman
who nonetheless believes he has positioned Cisco well for the
years ahead.

With data and voice communications seeming to merge, will
more of your acquisitions be of voice-equipment and software
companies?

We've said publicly that at least
a third, or maybe as many as
half, of our acquisitions next
year will be in the area of data,
voice, and video integration.
Our strategy will be very simple.
[We'll try to] catch the market in
a transition. We'll try to go after
those companies trying to
creatively combine data, voice,
and video.

[Lucent, Nortel, and the other
voice-equipment makers] realize the same thing in reverse. We look
at voice as a huge opportunity, perhaps five times the market size of
data. They look at voice as a business growing at only 4% per year,
with lousy margins. They see data growing. They view our markets
as the opportunity.

What's the killer multimedia app that will drive the growth of
PC networks?

We're finding there is not really one killer app, with the exception,
perhaps, of training video.

Training video?

Whether you're an educator or a fast-growing company such as
ourselves or McDonald's or others, how do you train your
employees? The answer is video, distance learning. [I know of one
university] that has more students getting continuing education via
distance learning than they have in the MBA classes. And over 90%
of the people in their distance-learning program got raises or got
promoted last year.

Another big application will be network commerce. My senior vice
president just ordered a puppy over the Internet. First, he does a
search of 250 breeders of this dog. Then, how many breeders with
these particular puppies are in the Bay Area? He ends up selecting a
puppy from a person in Santa Cruz who has it up on a Website. This
is someone who got a Website because she was communicating over
the Internet with her daughter in college, and the daughter set up a
Website for her. And all of a sudden she's competing with the biggest
breeders in the entire nation.

3Com CEO Eric Benhamou has a theory--that he can sort of
surround the network with endpoint devices and build a
position comparable to yours. Does that sound smart to you?
How are you going to beat him?

Eric Benhamou is a very talented individual and a person I have a lot
of admiration for. Every call I get about becoming a CEO
somewhere else, I send to him. I'd love to see him become CEO of
Apple.

While there are some things to say about surrounding on the edge,
they don't offer an end-to-end solution. We do. So if people want
end-to-end solutions, we have a huge advantage.

Eric has his hands full combining two very challenging companies
located across the country [3Com in Santa Clara, Cal., and U.S.
Robotics in Chicago]. Let's say you only have to spend a fourth of
your time on such a combination--I'd be shocked if Eric doesn't
spend a lot more time than that. When you take 25% of your time
away from what you do daily, you're not on your business as tightly
as you were before. Your issues are people issues: How do you
keep your people, how do you do alignments? You're looking
inwardly, not externally, and that lasts for at least a year to 18
months. It's tough enough doing a company a fifth or a tenth your
size. It must be tremendously challenging to do one of equal size.

Compaq thinks it may be able to provide end-to-end as well.
It's got some networking equipment now. So how will it do?

When I see 50% margins, I think that I'm dying. Compaq sees 50%
margins and thinks it's died and gone to heaven. So it will come into
this business. But companies like Compaq will reach a point with the
system business where they will have trouble either distributing or
supporting or consulting. Then they make the decision--do they want
to be in that area? And then we, and others, will try to say it's better
to partner than to compete.

Is it harder for you to get top-rate talent than it was, say, three
years ago? You hear a lot about the shortage of talent in
Silicon Valley.

We can get the top 5% to 15% of the industry talent pretty easily.
We do that because of our unique approach to stock options. The
average employee who has been with us for over a year has over
$125,000 in profit on unexercised options. That's on top of our
average starting salary, which is about $70,000.



To: Gary Korn who wrote (22143)11/9/1997 3:07:00 AM
From: Kumar Nathan  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 61433
 
Gary: I completely see your point. The apparent reason we forget to miss is that the current management is a big liability. This is a bunch of guys who doesnt know how to forecast and doesnt to know how to be honest to their stock holders. This guy has utter disregard to its stockholders and specialize in pissing off analysts. That is the biggest liability to the company. The point is that you are missing that side of the equation. People can argue that Mory is shrewd and he built to a billion company etc., etc., But the fact is that his recent action is sufficient enough to throw him from his office.

I hope I make sense.

Regards

Kumar