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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Vosilla who wrote (127178)12/27/2016 2:46:12 AM
From: Elroy Jetson1 Recommendation

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  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 217591
 
If Congress had approved an infrastructure restoration project in 2009 as requested, the Fed could have raised interest rates far earlier.

The Fed took the only actions available to them in the face of Congress's refusal to participate in the actions necessary to put the economy back into action more quickly.

You can't blame the Fed for refusing to tank the economy simply because many members of Congress wanted things to look bad at the expense of making life and business more miserable for most Americans. That's infantile.

Now it's far too late in the economic cycle to introduce infrastructure spending, which at this point would merely squeeze out other sectors of the economy -- creating either inflation or sharply higher interest rates and a return to a major economic recession.

Of course in that eventuality of a choice of either high inflation or high interest rates and recession, many like yourself will again blame the Fed rather than Congress for approving a late-cycle infrastructure spending bill.

But Trump and Congress will have an extremely tough time getting this type of infrastructure spend past Mitch McConnell in the Senate, so the Fed may not be faced with this problem. The members of Congress are mental.



To: John Vosilla who wrote (127178)12/27/2016 3:05:03 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217591
 
are you now participating in the market premised on trump-team success in deliverance, or are you in wait & see / watch & brief mode?

the time lag is bothersome - shovel ready vs funding in place against ideas deliberated, and never mind that the entire exercise may well turn into a pigs' breakfast at the fiscal QE trough - the number of billionaires involved in the schema should give pause, am suggesting

out of the lot, the executive orders can be shoved through until whatever else happens, and i wait to see what the orders would actually be

the possible elapsed time is troubling - most of the possibly efficacious medicine takes time to tee-up, and the longer the elapsed time, the higher the risk of nothing happens

even as the efficacy is, imo, doubtful - much of the prescriptions had been tried in the far past, without recommendation for reapplication

the phrase hail mary comes to mind

may be wrong but time and efficacy are certainly discussion points

the imperative to wager is so far unclear