Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: robert b furman who wrote (6917)	3/29/2019 10:58:16 AM
From: Kirk ©	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 26837

It still blows me away what people are paying for autos and homes. I visited my old chevy dealership just yesterday. I asked what's being sold Full size Trucks and SUV's of all sizes" was the response. That's where all domestic dealers are selling. Denali's are 75-80 grand, Cadillac Escalades are over 100 grand. My F&I manager just shook his head and said , some people roll out of my office with 1400 a month payments and 72 months to do it! I guess that doesn't make the Teslas running $50K for cheap Model 3 to $100K+ for fully loaded Model S look that expensive. Someone in my 24hr Fitness club has a Lamborghini SUV... $200K I believe if you can find one. More than double what I paid for my first home, a 3b.2.5b townhome in Sunnyvale... in 1984! . I find it hard to reset inflation / cost benchmarks. There are major times in my life where I remember buying my first car, first home, cost of eating out at various times too... I'm still trying to get over paying $15 to $20 for burger and fries if you expect to sit down and have it served to you. It seems not long ago I could buy nice lunches most places for well under $10 with tax and tip... then I remember that was 20 or 30 or 40 years ago! Damn it is tough getting old, but it sure beats the alternative!

To: robert b furman who wrote (6917)

3/29/2019 12:21:24 PM

From: Fintas

1 Recommendation

Recommended By
toccodolce

Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 26837

I remember seeing F at .87-1 and thinking to myself.. That was the time to take 1 M shares IF one could handle the risk etc. I didn't do such and not because of fear but because I didn't like what the admin was doing to others in the sector. So I stepped into JPM and others. BUT that would have been one sweet play as F moved towards the 20 re % and time.

Here and now I wouldn't be surprised to see LOWER after any rally. How low, pull up a long term trend chart back to 2008 to see where the support was on the way up.

Here's the RS chart for F and while it could see a turn up to X's. I'd expect it to reverse or just add a few more o's. How many 10-30% max so with a price of ? What does that mean re possible downside. And then the FA has to be ok. I have to say I do like Fords.

																									4.5331
4.2564																																														4.2564
3.9966																																														3.9966
3.7527																																														3.7527
3.5236																																														3.5236
3.3086								7		C																																				3.3086
3.1067								X	O	X	O																																			3.1067
2.9170								6	O	X	O	A		X																																2.9170
2.7390								5	A		6	X	O	4	O																															2.7390
2.5718								X			7	X	O	X	O																															2.5718
2.4149				B				4			8		2	X	5	3																														2.4149
2.2675				5	O			X					3		6	X	O																													2.2675
2.1291		6		3	O			3							8	X	O																													2.1291
1.9992		X	O	2	9	4		1							B		5																													1.9992
1.8771		4	O	X	1	X	O	A									6																													1.8771
1.7626		3	9	X	B	X	O	X									8																													1.7626
1.6550		X	A		1		9	X									O																													1.6550
1.5540	O	2					3										9																													1.5540
1.4591	O	X															B	5																												1.4591
1.3701	A	X															C	X	O																											1.3701
1.2865	B																O	X	O																											1.2865
1.2079																	2		8			X																								1.2079
1.1342																			9			C	O																							1.1342
1.0650																			O	X		X	O																							1.0650
1.0000																			A	X	O	X	2																							1.0000
0.9390																			O	X	O	4	A																			X				0.9390
0.8817																			B		2	X	1																			X	O			0.8817
0.8278																					3	X	2																			B	O			0.8278
0.7773																					O		3																	3		7	2			0.7773
0.7299																							O																	X	O	X	3			0.7299
0.6853																							4																	X	O	X	6			0.6853
0.6435																							O																	1	6		7	7		0.6435
0.6042																							9															8		C			8	X	O	0.6042
0.5674																							A															X	O	B			B	C	O	0.5674
0.5327																							O															X	O	X			5	X	C	0.5327
0.5002																							B	9												X		7	9	X			6	X	9	0.5002
0.4697																							C	8	O											X	O	X	O				7		A	0.4697
0.4410																							3	X	O	1		X								X	O	X							B	0.4410
0.4141																							4	X	C	X	O	X	O							X	5								1	0.4141
0.3888																							5		O	X	O	4	O							X									6	0.3888
0.3651																									O		C	X	5							X									8	0.3651
0.3428																											1	X	6	X						X									B	0.3428
0.3219																											3		O	X	O	9				X									3	0.3219
0.3022																													O	X	O	X	O	X		4									5	0.3022
0.2838																													7	X	8	X	O	X	O	X									1	0.2838
0.2665																													O		O		A	X	O	X									O	0.2665
0.2502																																	O	C	O	X									7	0.2502
0.2349																																	O	X	O	X									O	0.2349
0.2206																																	O	X	O	3									8	0.2206
0.2071																																	O	X	O	X									C	0.2071
0.1945																																	O	X	1	X										0.1945
0.1826																																	O	X	O	X										0.1826
0.1715																																	B	X	2											0.1715
0.1610																																	O	X												0.1610
0.1512																																	O	X												0.1512
0.1420																																	O	X												0.1420
0.1333																																	O													0.1333
0.1252																																														0.1252
0.1175																																														0.1175
0.1103																																														0.1103
0.1036																																														0.1036
0.0973																																														0.0973
	91	92		93	94		97	98			99		00			01	02				03		04			07	08								09					10			11	13	14