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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Kirk © who wrote (9087)4/8/2020 12:56:39 PM
From: Kirk ©  Respond to of 26752
 
Interesting article on the accuracy of testing...

towardsdatascience.com

The Ideal test




The orange curve (bottom, for negative result) is very close to the x-axis, which would mean that a negative result virtually guarantees a zero probability of infection.The blue curve (top, for positive result) is straight up the y-axis and right, which would mean that a positive result virtually guarantees a certain probability of infection.













The unreliable test cannot rule out infection.





To: Kirk © who wrote (9087)4/8/2020 2:57:16 PM
From: the traveler  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 26752
 
yes indeed--that herd immunity is a good thang but that shelter in place stuff is counter productive to it. the way shelter in place was ordered as public policy will cause more deaths in the end according to some credible experts.

can't be helped now though as Big Brother don't make mistakes.


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